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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decrease | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261d | jhfjhrehdrh | Decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 262d | rspa | No change | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 265d | jfgasfasf | No change | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 |
| 265d | ydsfgds | No change | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,325 | −$175 −7.5% | — |
| 265d | ldsfjkaa. | No change | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 |
| 265d | ydsfgds | No change | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$91 +7.5% | 20 |
| 265d | lfghd | No change | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$84 −7.5% | — |
| 268d | nicdan | No change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$71 +4.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight interbank interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Mexico's February 2026 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its February 5, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/politica-monetaria/d/%7B3B4BDA5B-E7E8-E414-2066-DA0CB3F7C36F%7D.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their February meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No change means the market gives it about 100%.