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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 826d | Skankfest | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,788 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 826d | JohnathanDoe | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 826d | slyy | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$29 +2.4% | 20 |
| 826d |  Car | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$85 +5.7% | 20 |
| 826d |  50Whence | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$133 +8.7% | 20 |
| 826d |  oer696969 | Biden announcement on future today? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$167 +11% | 20 |
On July 18, The Hill reported that Democratic Party insiders expect President Biden to make a major announcement about his future soon (see: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4780762-biden-future-harris-running-mate/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden makes any major announcement regarding his future, such as his decision to resign the presidency or whether to run or not run for re-election, by 11:59 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Only official statements from the White House or Biden himself will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Unofficial statements from staff, will not qualify. The resolution source for this market is official statements from Biden or one of his representatives.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.