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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 848d | hspected2 fills | Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,220 | +$397 +4.8% | 4 |
| 848d | bfsdfdsa | Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$380 +36% | 4 |
| 848d | Bink_7 | Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,617 | −$1,617 −100% | 4 |
| 849d |  09432 fills | Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate? | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $7,770 | −$7,770 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden closes his eyes for 3 or more seconds continuously at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, from his first appearance during the official broadcast, to when he exits the debate stage after the completion of the closing remarks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.