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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824d | professorx | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,220 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,480 | −$7 −0.4% | — | |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 824d | 0xc-268 | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 824d | CaptBluetooth | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,965 | −$35 −0.9% | — |
| 824d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,183 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,784 | −$271 −2.1% | — | |
| 824d | WhitmerBet | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,656 | −$261 −2.5% | — |
| 824d | Peterson1 | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 824d | Dapper | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | −$68 −2.9% | — | |
| 824d | polyaffective | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 4 |
| 824d | Jooba4 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $10,677 | +$990 +9.3% | 4 |
| 824d | hspected | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$155 +3.1% | 4 |
| 824d | yanada4204 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $29,339 | +$11,490 +39% | 4 |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | +$3,814 +111% | 5 | |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,295 | +$593 +6.4% | 4 | |
| 824d | poptree5 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $22,229 | +$4,962 +22% | 4 |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,182 | +$1,099 +50% | 4 | |
| 824d | scuffed | Biden drops out in July? | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,367 | +$1,367 +100% | — |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $38,455 | +$51,107 +133% | 9 | |
| 824d | fundamentalmisunderstanding2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$3,297 +138% | 5 |
| 824d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $17,570 | +$21,869 +124% | 7 | |
| 824d | Twp2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $4,323 | −$4,323 −100% | 4 |
| 824d | Peaceful-KiltNew account | Biden drops out in July? | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | +$1,140 +100% | — |
| 824d | buy-sub10k-Ordinals2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $3,708 | −$3,708 −100% | 4 |
| 824d | yellowgloves | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 4 |
| 824d | OedipusRex | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $8,296 | +$10,997 +133% | 7 |
| 824d | pulica | Biden drops out in July? | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,753 | +$1,753 +100% | — |
| 824d | Stiv | Biden drops out in July? | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $4,676 | +$4,676 +100% | — |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 4 | |
| 825d | EscalateFund | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $4,613 | −$4,613 −100% | 4 |
| 825d | LEcrypto2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,238 | −$2,238 −100% | 6 |
| 825d | Elysian | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $23,437 | −$23,437 −100% | 4 |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $7,554 | +$5,501 +73% | 4 | |
| 825d | coconuttree-130 | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | — |
| 825d | MatrixMember | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,044 | −$4,297 −85% | — |
| 825d | DeFiSchool12 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,311 +86% | 4 |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $4,601 | −$4,601 −100% | 6 | |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $3,206 | +$2,623 +82% | 4 | |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $16,048 | −$16,048 −100% | 6 | |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $13,926 | −$13,926 −100% | 4 | |
| 825d | the-goal-is-more-bitcoin | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $18,450 | +$11,800 +64% | 4 |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $10,691 | +$5,850 +55% | 4 | |
| 825d | MatrixMember | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $8,071 | +$5,160 +64% | 4 |
| 825d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,524 | −$3,524 −100% | 6 | |
| 825d | Stiv | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $3,428 | −$3,428 −100% | 6 |
| 826d | Sleijffers | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$906 +67% | 4 |
| 826d | Perky-OrientNew account | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 19 |
| 826d | majorL | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,648 | −$1,648 −100% | 5 |
| 826d | mgmoney | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $3,411 | −$3,411 −100% | 5 |
| 826d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $6,413 | −$6,413 −100% | 8 | |
| 826d | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $6,234 | −$3,661 −59% | — | |
| 826d | moonkist8 fills | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $13,192 | −$13,192 −100% | 4 |
| 826d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $3,915 | −$3,915 −100% | 10 | |
| 826d | RunItBackTurbo69 | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $6,918 | −$6,918 −100% | 12 |
| 826d | DJTHolder | Biden drops out in July? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 4 |
| 826d | einstein2 fills | Biden drops out in July? | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $16,165 | −$5,978 −37% | — |
| 826d | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,435 | −$1,435 −100% | 5 | |
| 826d | Benjaminng | Biden drops out in July? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,056 | −$1,056 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.