Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820d | Biden escorted back from podium after dropout speech? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,182 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 821d | Biden escorted back from podium after dropout speech? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,273 | +$227 +5.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is escorted back from the podium after his dropout speech scheduled for July 24, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered to be escorted if another person is in physical contact with him or supports him as he walks away from the podium and exits the view of the camera after his speech. This includes hand holding, a hand around Biden’s shoulder, or similar physical assistance. If Biden does not give a publicly broadcast speech from a podium on July 24 ET, or if the broadcast does not show him leaving the podium, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be video footage of the speech.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.