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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden gives a public speech without a teleprompter between July 3, 2024, 2:00 PM ET, and July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the speech to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution it must be recorded and the video made publicly available within the market’s time frame. Prepared remarks, including reading remarks off paper, will count if Biden does not use a teleprompter during them. However, merely forgoing a teleprompter during Q&A will not suffice to trigger a "Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a preponderance of credible evidence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.