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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Balloon | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Super Bowl | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Folks | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence / chatGPT | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Russia/Putin 10 or more times? | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended | |
| Fentanyl 5 or more times? | >99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market group on what Biden will say during his SOTU.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Trump means the market gives it about <1%.