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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $300M | 100% | +12 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $500M | 0% | −28 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $100M | 100% | 0 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $200M | 100% | +2 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $1B | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| $50M | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 434d |
| $700M | 0% | −5 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171d | Noteagle2 fills | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,118 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | harshreality | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,626 | +$29 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | xiaoxue6731 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,770 | +$44 +0.4% | 2 |
| 171d | JJ121885 | $500M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,500 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 171d | Cactus-001 | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,600 | +$71 +0.8% | 2 |
| 171d | Cactus-001 | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,213 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | xuejiao | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,674 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | shuangming1219 | $700M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,549 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | shuangming1219 | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d |  TTokin2 fills | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d | Sonop | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,978 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d |  ke1pie | $700M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,034 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d |  Kharekk | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d |  leleko2k | $500M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$54 +5.3% | 2 |
| 171d | CBlabsJ | $500M | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 3 |
| 171d | 1881aa2 fills | $300M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$19 +0.6% | 2 |
| 171d | Limping-Committee | $200M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,138 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 171d | LULLULU | $300M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$17 −1.3% | — |
| 171d |  Shukan | $500M | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$200 −18% | — |
| 171d | gjbwkc | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,040 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d |  polyhelper | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | ceshiji | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,825 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | longten2 fills | $300M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,091 | +$266 +5.2% | 2 |
| 171d | onekey02 | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,168 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | mk83 | $500M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$54 +4.2% | 2 |
| 171d | dsffsdf | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | vvnjhg | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,372 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | rusgreat | $700M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,441 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 171d | rusgreat | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,645 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d | labtradoor | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,068 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | omegonx | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,857 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 172d | CBlabsJ | $300M | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$121 −11% | — |
| 172d | Sifara | $500M | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$195 +14% | 2 |
| 172d |  weloi | $200M | BuyYes100¢ | $2,208 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 172d | HUNTERGUO | $300M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | +$138 +6.6% | 2 |
| 172d | onekey02 | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,166 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 172d |  Parz1vaI | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 172d | bean125 | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,836 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 172d | suyizi | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,282 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 172d | leleko2k | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 172d | LULLULU | $200M | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$77 −6.3% | — |
| 172d | 1881aa | $200M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$61 +5.3% | 2 |
| 172d | dada20 | $100M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 172d | tradexplorer | $300M | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | — |
| 172d |  qwertyjack | $700M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$28 +2.4% | 2 |
| 172d | ke1pie | $50M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,395 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 172d |  mewmew1 | $1B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 172d | mewmew1 | $700M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$58 −4.6% | — |
| 172d | Tianhe | $200M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$388 +14% | 2 |
| 172d | LULLULU | $200M | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$186 +17% | 2 |
| 172d | LULLULU | $100M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,127 | −$41 −1.9% | — |
| 172d | 1881aa2 fills | $100M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$71 +3.2% | 2 |
| 173d | ceshiji | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,814 | +$16 +0.9% | 2 |
| 174d | ceshiji | $50M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 174d | mewmew1 | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$24 +1.3% | 2 |
| 181d | angelok | $100M | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$557 −48% | — |
| 207d |  Mollytrading | $100M | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$1,125 +106% | 2 |
| 212d | tradexplorer | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,395 | −$1,395 −100% | 2 |
| 218d | Wry-MasterpieceNew account | $700M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,270 | +$30 +1.3% | 2 |
suckmydiscoteque.eth1,025 shares
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Billion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Billions (https://x.com/billions_ntwk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $300M means the market gives it about 100%.