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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | MistahFox | Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,050 | +$243 +2.2% | 2 |
palmplum100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any single daily BTC/USDT candle between January 13 and December 31, 2026 has a range equal to or greater than 15%. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT The “Range” value shown for the daily candle will be used. Daily candles are defined based on the ET (Eastern Time) timezone. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.