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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −8 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +49 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,298 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 196d | Lexey11 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,132 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | canony | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $25,963 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,986 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | KaelNevermore | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,820 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Musty-Clay | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,459 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | AINY001 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,187 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | canony | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,248 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Bustling-Repository | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,610 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | deyi962451 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,246 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 196d | sala72 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 196d | cccuh | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 196d | wtde | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 196d | canony | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $35,754 | −$36 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | KaelNevermore2 fills | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,054 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | canony | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,801 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,959 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | kolper2 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,985 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Alexddr | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 196d | edseah | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,400 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 196d | SkyLove7 | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,878 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 196d | Alexddr | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,826 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,169 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 196d | Valid-Processing | 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,930 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 196d | 0xe617…f251 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$43 +1.4% | 2 |
| 196d | averagerandomman | 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$39 +2.0% | 2 |
| 196d | MU247 | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | AINY001 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,159 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 196d | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,316 | −$13 −0.1% | — | |
| 196d | jc222 | 72,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$19 −1.6% | — |
| 196d | YautjaPM23 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,886 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Musty-Clay2 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,276 | +$175 +4.1% | 2 |
| 196d | dddsssfff | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,853 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | dddsssfff | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | 74,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,633 | −$439 −7.8% | — | |
| 196d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,344 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,222 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,924 | +$61 +2.1% | 2 |
| 196d | canony | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $16,542 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,741 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 196d | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,571 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 196d | BunCaCham | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,799 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | JustMME | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,008 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 74,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $18,497 | −$1,011 −5.5% | — |
| 196d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,939 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,992 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,369 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 196d | canony | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,305 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | Musty-Clay | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,890 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | canony | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,324 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Candela | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,611 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,471 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 196d | Navigator77 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,931 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 196d | mjvkw2 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,747 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 196d | bhkMarvin | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,355 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 196d | babybaby12342 fills | 72,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,019 | −$875 −22% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.