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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −88 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −33 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194d | Musty-Clay | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,200 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,089 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Lexey11 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,196 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | AINY001 | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,308 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Navigator77 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,034 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d |  Facaie | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,061 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | collided | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,466 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | MU247 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | collided | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,469 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | AnonymousPerson | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,678 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | jidong9808 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,596 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | SkyLove7 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,995 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | PmDerek | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,793 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 194d | PmDerek7 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $40,674 | −$76 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | Musty-Clay | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,248 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | good8899 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,039 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | NebulaNurture | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,239 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | NebulaNurture | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,239 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | 90119011 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,493 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | wtde | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | 12QWAQA | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,337 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | zhukejue | 70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$15 +1.5% | 2 |
| 194d |  VasiliSko | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,381 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,614 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,545 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Candela | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 194d | shaguashiwo | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,539 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 194d |  Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,369 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | 0xe617…f251 | 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 194d | deranged | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,075 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | WanTonMee | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,255 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | Tttyh | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,358 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d |  kAraBoga8964 | 70,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$47 +4.1% | 2 |
| 194d | dodono | 70,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$87 +4.2% | 2 |
| 194d | rakitit | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,451 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $6,112 | +$2,236 +37% | 2 |
| 194d | p.k.19 | 72,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,209 | −$56 −2.6% | — |
| 194d | matsuii | 70,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$93 −6.4% | — |
| 194d | Mizukaze | 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,076 | +$124 +2.0% | 2 |
| 194d | Tttyh | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,977 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | ERTYUIOPGTHJ | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | allen114 | 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,586 | +$240 +3.2% | 2 |
| 194d | Facaie | 70,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$57 +5.3% | 2 |
| 194d | Musty-Clay | 72,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | +$162 +5.3% | 3 |
| 194d |  EA-SY | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,312 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 194d | Winding-Assessment | 72,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$83 +4.2% | 2 |
| 194d | good8899 | 72,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $996 | +$41 +4.2% | 2 |
| 194d | Dry-Straw7 fills | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,810 | −$38 −0.4% | — |
| 194d | Dry-Straw7 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,995 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 194d | deranged2 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,395 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 194d |  KangAndrew | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | 901190112 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,937 | +$526 +13% | 3 |
| 194d | Funboyboy5 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,899 | +$385 +1.3% | 2 |
| 194d |  decacepa6 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $39,936 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 194d | decacepa6 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,382 | +$39 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d | detoxification | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 194d |  CryptoGoldk | 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,584 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 194d | Smilemore123 | 70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 194d | rakitit | 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
Alexandrus13373,671 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.