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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74d | URAL17 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,957 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | tenorplum | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,188 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | AnonymousPerson | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | noloainakaila | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 74d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,581 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 74d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 74d | winwin10086 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,093 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 74d |  upont2 fills | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,500 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 74d |  leleko2k | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,362 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d |  gugu-gaga | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,075 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | JHValueUp | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d | Dou123 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,604 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 74d | Tianhe | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,203 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | Paul973973 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | Timely-Expansionism | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | las01 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,115 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,379 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | VasiliSko | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,310 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$111 +10% | 3 |
| 74d | VasiliSko2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,715 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | wendydream | 66,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 74d | hungrykittens | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 74d | upont | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,245 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 74d | CelestialChronicle | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,981 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 74d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | −$33 −2.0% | — |
| 74d | easypredict3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,336 | +$425 +5.1% | 2 |
| 74d |  Tttyh | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,678 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$32 +2.3% | 2 |
| 74d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$22 +2.1% | 2 |
| 74d |  Wenneowy | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,210 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d |  Quiande | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Candela | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 74d | nicoco | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,098 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | detoxification | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Tttyh | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d |  walnascar | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Alanfree | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Bigold | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | upont | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,075 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,000 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Overcooked-Spinach | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | supalien | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,600 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d | Gozila | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | 0xzig | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Gregarious-Distribution | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,628 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | winwin10086 | 66,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$100 +9.9% | 3 |
| 74d | gwathneydoretheaeuh | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,147 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d |  leowei2025 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 74d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,434 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | atkw | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 74d |  LiMoon | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$15 +0.8% | 2 |
| 74d | cantrylah2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 66,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$198 +14% | 3 |
| 74d | YoungAndFree | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,717 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 74d | Rust701 | 66,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | −$307 −18% | — |
| 74d |  decacepa | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,274 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 74d | 0x4773…2289 | 66,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$170 −16% | — |
| 74d | 1231123123 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $30,940 | −$62 −0.2% | — |
| 74d | 1231123123 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,971 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
Ylderisha14,767 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.