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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | AnonymousPerson | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d |  EA-SY | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,517 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,393 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,621 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Mizukaze2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,820 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d |  ZeinST2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,606 | +$54 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d |  Tttyh | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | brandonrordi | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,150 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | WanTonMee | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,095 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 62,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $11,292 | −$764 −6.8% | — |
| 70d | 0xf705…3ca710 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $15,229 | +$805 +5.3% | 2 |
| 70d | Rust7012 fills | 62,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,055 | −$237 −5.8% | — |
| 70d | Rin2x | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 70d | VasiliSko | 64,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,692 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 70d | Pro-Trader44 | 62,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$91 +7.5% | 3 |
| 70d | Tttyh | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Tttyh5 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $53,052 | +$77 +0.1% | 2 |
| 70d | Soulful-Founder | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,091 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | VasiliSko3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,658 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d |  coinman24 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,076 | +$625 +8.8% | 3 |
| 70d | detoxification | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | 1881aa | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,723 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 70d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,609 | +$119 +0.7% | 2 |
| 70d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $16,732 | +$4,474 +27% | 2 |
| 70d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,591 | +$132 +2.4% | 2 |
| 70d | VasiliSko4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,037 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 70d | TangS4189 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,795 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 64,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,683 | −$602 −4.4% | — |
| 70d | kingofcoinflips7 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,242 | +$1,171 +9.6% | 3 |
| 70d | 1881aa2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,796 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d | faabi | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,387 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 70d | Dou123 | 62,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,307 | −$219 −6.6% | — |
| 70d | wendydream2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,778 | +$92 +3.3% | 2 |
| 70d | Candela | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Candela | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 70d |  walnascar | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 70d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$124 +12% | 3 |
| 70d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,600 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | On9Chasiu | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,437 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 71d | Dou123 | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,469 | +$56 +1.6% | 2 |
| 71d |  you249307 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Gozila | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 71d | 0xzig | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,100 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | slkdjkljnkngeljklj | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$50 +2.3% | 2 |
| 71d | supalien | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,700 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | Gregarious-Distribution | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,430 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 71d | Overcooked-Spinach | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,700 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 71d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$190 +3.6% | 2 |
| 71d | Bigold | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,200 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 71d | DOWNbet | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Bigold | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Tttyh10 fills | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $34,553 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Tttyh7 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,650 | +$54 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  leowei2025 | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 71d | HANK111 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,014 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 71d | cantrylah2 | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,255 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | atkw | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Rust7012 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$293 +7.3% | 2 |
| 71d | KFai | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,605 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | PathLens | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,612 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK7,319 shares
erevan5,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.