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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 100% | +99 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +93 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65d | ADIAK | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,035 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | aaaa888212312312 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,755 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 65d | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 65d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,323 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 65d | averagerandomman19 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,810 | +$433 +2.1% | 2 |
| 65d | elrah | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 65d | tenorplum | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,556 | +$42 +1.6% | 2 |
| 65d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,365 | +$58 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 65d | IH2P2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,490 | +$403 +4.7% | 2 |
| 65d | noloainakaila | 68,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$41 +3.6% | 2 |
| 65d | gresgdfx | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,070 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 65d | 0xa5bc…b130 | 68,000 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,862 | −$758 −20% | — |
| 65d | PmDerek | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Tame-Loading | 68,000 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$234 −20% | — |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $29,535 | +$20,780 +70% | 5 |
| 65d | retokloreretpo | 68,000 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,172 | −$708 −17% | — |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $22,507 | +$1,861 +8.3% | 3 |
| 65d | NASX33 | 68,000 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,854 | −$651 −35% | — |
| 65d | shabbysalta | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,910 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,765 | +$88 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 65d | gregdfxsc | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,371 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | 68,000 | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $51,170 | +$51,170 +100% | — | |
| 65d | shabbysalta | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | IH2P | 70,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$196 +4.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Soulful-Founder | 70,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$43 +3.8% | 2 |
| 65d | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,657 | +$43 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 65d | 70,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,407 | −$392 −6.1% | — | |
| 65d | shabbysalta | 54,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,190 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Speedy-Horse | 66,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | −$85 −5.3% | — |
| 65d | shabbysalta | 68,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,649 | −$1,649 −100% | 5 |
| 65d | AlexHee2 fills | 68,000 | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $4,402 | +$4,402 +100% | — |
| 65d | 66,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,330 | +$368 +5.8% | 2 | |
| 65d | 0x403f…b886 | 68,000 | SellYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | −$4,210 −365% | — |
| 65d | 68,000 | SellNo86¢ → 0¢ | $10,995 | +$10,995 +100% | — | |
| 65d | 1881aa | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$13 +1.3% | 2 |
| 65d | On9Chasiu | 68,000 | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $2,173 | +$2,173 +100% | — |
| 65d | IH2P | 68,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $4,834 | −$4,834 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | Bronzze2312 | 66,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,592 | −$408 −11% | — |
| 65d | Vasyatrade23 | 66,000 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,384 | −$604 −14% | — |
| 65d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $5,382 | −$5,382 −100% | 2 | |
| 65d | Soulful-Founder2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $2,218 | −$2,218 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,126 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | suntori | 66,000 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$297 −25% | — |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $18,971 | +$13,499 +71% | 5 |
| 65d | averagerandomman8 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $8,886 | −$8,886 −100% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x403f…b886 | 66,000 | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $5,036 | −$5,459 −108% | — |
| 65d | Ambitious-Sermon | 66,000 | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | +$1,172 +100% | — |
| 65d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,691 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | Soulful-Founder | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Bronzze2312 | 66,000 | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,800 +233% | 5 |
| 65d | honk75 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,924 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 65d | Bronzze2312 | 66,000 | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,275 | +$1,275 +100% | — |
| 65d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,991 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 65d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,839 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 65d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,530 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,175 | +$563 +11% | 3 |
| 65d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,896 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 65d | Mizukaze2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,512 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.