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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 100% | +96 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,236 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | onlyhit | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,550 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | tenorplum | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,896 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | Tame-Loading | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,433 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 64d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 64d | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,895 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 64d | BunCaCham | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,398 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,992 | +$37 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 64d | onlyhit2 fills | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,507 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 64d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,400 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,819 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,039 | +$44 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 64d | niuniuhgir | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,548 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 1881aa | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,452 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,795 | −$28 −0.4% | — | |
| 64d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,407 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 64d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,430 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 64d | 0xa68c…f805 | 72,000 | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | −$1,551 −116% | — |
| 64d | ADIAK | 72,000 | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$1,052 −72% | — |
| 64d | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,675 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | Mizukaze2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,421 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | hopkinsmichael | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,809 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 64d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,892 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | 70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | +$27 +1.1% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,922 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 64d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,891 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 64d | marissacain2 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,299 | +$65 +0.9% | 2 |
| 64d | lauren71 | 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$28 +1.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 64d | 70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$20 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,441 | +$465 +8.5% | 3 |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | +$67 +2.9% | 2 | |
| 64d | 1881aa2 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,532 | −$20 −0.5% | — |
| 64d | 0x4773…2289 | 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$40 +3.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,299 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 64d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,014 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 64d | gamepol | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,211 | +$63 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 64d | WanTonMee | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,135 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | yiliu | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,164 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.12321 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $50,889 | +$2,388 +4.7% | 2 |
| 64d | faabi | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 64d | detoxification | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 64d | 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$29 +2.3% | 2 | |
| 64d | 70,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | −$312 −9.0% | — | |
| 64d | Dou123 | 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$43 +3.3% | 2 |
| 64d | ndjkasn4 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,124 | +$83 +1.6% | 2 |
| 64d | NASX332 fills | 70,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,233 | −$491 −9.4% | — |
| 64d | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 64d | 68,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | −$16 −0.8% | — | |
| 64d | 70,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$177 +4.9% | 2 | |
| 64d | 1881aa2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,625 | +$45 +1.2% | 2 |
| 64d | mamai | 70,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$147 +5.9% | 2 |
| 64d | jrfjftj | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,013 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,075 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 64d | 0x212d…64c6 | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $12,771 | +$5,730 +45% | 3 |
| 64d | ndjkasn2 fills | 68,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | −$39 −1.5% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.