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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,635 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,559 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,935 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 60d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 60d | Rin2x | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | onlyhit | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 60d | anon.1980.1234 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,639 | +$298 +2.6% | 2 |
| 60d | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 60d | 1881aa | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,474 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,204 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | Bouncy-Coalition | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 60d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,503 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 60d | elrah | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$177 +3.5% | 2 |
| 60d | 0xvanilla | 80,000 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$695 −65% | — |
| 60d | Peerusdenarus | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 60d | SkyLove7 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,516 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | NebulaNurture | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 1881aa | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,757 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | portermark | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,520 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 0x212d…64c6 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,757 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,148 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 60d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,484 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 0x212d…64c63 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,997 | +$26 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | jrfjftj | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $30,361 | −$61 −0.2% | — | |
| 60d | hopkinsmichael | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,531 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,618 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,146 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,394 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 60d | NebulaNurture | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,111 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 60d | 0xb9f7…08de | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,310 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 60d | 1881aa2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$18 +0.8% | 2 |
| 60d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,689 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 60d | 0xb9f7…08de | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 60d | easyclap | 76,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$90 +5.4% | 2 |
| 60d | 78,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,059 | −$1,059 −100% | 5 | |
| 60d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,070 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,034 | +$130 +1.6% | 2 |
| 60d | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,548 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 60d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,556 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | AstralAdorn | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,107 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Beneber2 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,480 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Braafo | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,840 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Peerusdenarus3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $10,426 | +$1,159 +11% | 3 |
| 60d | Gregarious-Distribution | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,808 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,837 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 60d | 0x212d…64c6 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,409 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | 0xb9f7…08de | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,620 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | mallemaarten | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,531 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | fdscdscc | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,146 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | zxcxcvb | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | 0xb9f7…08de | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,177 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 60d | TangS4189 | 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 60d | cvcvbv | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.