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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d | Soham892 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,461 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 59d |  ZeinST2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,613 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d |  jakebet | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 59d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,890 | +$308 +3.9% | 2 |
| 59d |  FXC | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,964 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | jakebet | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 59d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,011 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 59d | AnonymousPerson | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | gobblewobble2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$116 +4.2% | 2 |
| 59d |  abellll | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,800 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,100 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 59d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$27 +2.1% | 2 |
| 59d | meganleblanc | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,297 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | −$75 −3.5% | — |
| 59d |  walnascar | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | HarmonyHerald | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,752 | +$1,008 +15% | 3 |
| 59d | 1881aa2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,285 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 59d | Doomster | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,201 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | HarmonyHerald | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,043 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | ndjkasn | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | anthonygreen2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,750 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,121 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 59d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,584 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 59d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,225 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d |  spica258 | 76,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | −$78 −4.2% | — |
| 59d | badluckeveryday | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,719 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 59d | donaldsonsandra | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,700 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | 1881aa2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,995 | +$35 +0.9% | 2 |
| 59d | spica258 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 59d | spica258 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 59d |  soylentgoy | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,022 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 59d | 1881aa2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,676 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 59d | elrah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$35 +0.3% | 2 |
| 59d | jrfjftj | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,018 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,236 | +$151 +1.2% | 2 |
| 59d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,532 | +$413 +4.8% | 2 |
| 59d | 1881aa2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,770 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 59d | hungrykittens | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$36 +3.4% | 2 |
| 59d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,152 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 59d | 1881aa4 fills | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,903 | −$125 −1.8% | — |
| 59d | Soham892 | 82,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$108 +8.3% | 3 |
| 59d | IH2P | 78,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$133 +12% | 3 |
| 59d | Glennraven | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,861 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d |  Tttyh4 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,240 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | lingke | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 59d | magcidwa | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | MU247 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | Oleksi1 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 60d | elrah | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | atkw | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | Tttyh | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,233 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 60d |  lasiweijiasi | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | HANK111 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,018 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 60d |  GoodLuck68886 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$22 +1.4% | 2 |
| 60d | alstromangelobo | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,160 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 60d | jjjclv6 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,000 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK2,572 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.