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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +26 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | Ernie-287 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,548 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 58d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,072 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 58d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,026 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 58d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | SkyLove72 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$134 +5.5% | 2 |
| 58d | mulpodsa85 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,806 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 58d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,580 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 58d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $13,955 | −$13,955 −100% | 2 |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,989 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 58d | AnonymousPerson | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,985 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | 1881aa | 76,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,933 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 58d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,336 | +$35 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 58d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,494 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 58d | 1881aa | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,306 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 58d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 58d | 1881aa | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,664 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 58d | 0x4873…e5d84 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,909 | −$38 −0.2% | — |
| 58d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,095 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | 0x4873…e5d84 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,928 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,896 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | HarmonyHerald | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 58d | HarmonyHerald | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 58d | anthonygreen2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,812 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | donaldsonsandra | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,819 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 58d | LouisDouis | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,364 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | justinnor | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,170 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | Candela | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,765 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 58d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,899 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 58d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,899 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 58d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,760 | −$20 −0.1% | — | |
| 58d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,775 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 58d | 0xDB5 | 80,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$80 −7.5% | — |
| 58d | 0xDB5 | 76,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$34 −3.0% | — |
| 58d | ndjkasn | 76,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | −$39 −3.0% | — |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,099 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 58d | ndjkasn | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$36 +2.8% | 2 |
| 58d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,943 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 58d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | +$752 +17% | 3 |
| 58d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 58d | 78,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | +$2,467 +70% | 3 | |
| 58d | 1881aa3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,568 | +$37 +0.6% | 2 |
| 58d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 58d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,094 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 58d | atkw | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,395 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 58d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 58d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,147 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 58d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$37 +1.2% | 2 |
| 58d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 58d | lmcaimiku | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | +$31 +1.8% | 2 |
| 59d | YoungAndFree2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,390 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $6,535 | +$3,365 +51% | 3 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$451 +20% | 3 |
| 59d | winwin10086 | 80,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$384 +20% | 3 |
| 59d | gekko123456 | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$19 +1.7% | 2 |
| 59d | IH2P | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$39 +2.0% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.