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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −41 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | Velova | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 55d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 55d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,991 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,383 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,763 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | SkyLove72 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,910 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | xiaojido202 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$635 +46% | 5 |
| 55d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,346 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $4,087 | −$4,087 −100% | 5 |
| 55d | AnonymousPerson | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,902 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $15,570 | −$16 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 0x4245…62eb | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,983 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | zhenni | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | Mizukaze | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,006 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,354 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 55d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,614 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 55d | 78,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$99 +8.7% | 3 | |
| 55d | Noteagle | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,693 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 55d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,853 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,798 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | Candela | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,341 | +$20 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 55d | baba14432 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $51,616 | +$604 +1.2% | 2 |
| 55d | detoxification | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,744 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 55d | winwin10086 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,634 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 55d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,795 | −$15 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,795 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,967 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 55d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,993 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 55d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 55d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,818 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 55d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,079 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 55d | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,709 | +$88 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 55d | 0x4245…62eb | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$29 +1.4% | 2 |
| 55d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,694 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,043 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 55d | lmcaimiku2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$40 +1.4% | 2 |
| 55d | lmcaimiku | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,541 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 55d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,999 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 55d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,104 | −$18 −0.1% | — | |
| 55d | Doomster | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$43 +1.3% | 2 |
| 55d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,336 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | −$66 −3.2% | — |
| 55d | giuhjhkg | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,065 | +$46 +1.5% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 55d | ndjkasn | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$21 +1.5% | 2 |
| 55d | wehmannjaleesawqp | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,168 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 55d | IH2P2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$589 +26% | 3 |
| 55d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 55d | PmDerek | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | PmDerek | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.