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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | AnonymousPerson | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  jakebet | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | WanTonMee2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,152 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,197 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 54d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  Tttyh | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 54d | Tttyh | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,111 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,911 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | PmDerek2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,703 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | Tttyh3 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,716 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 54d | Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,808 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | yiba2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,715 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | yiqiz | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,464 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,318 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,067 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 54d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,446 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 54d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | 0x4245…62eb | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,083 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 54d |  ZeinST | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,351 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d |  walnascar | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d |  VasiliSko | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$14 +1.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  BnB-Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,450 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d |  win-ok | 78,000 | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $2,453 | +$2,453 +100% | — |
| 54d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 54d |  CHINANO1 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,851 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 54d | baba1443 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$19 +1.5% | 2 |
| 54d |  Yiyou | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,490 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 54d | atkw | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 54d | atkw | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 54d | gekko123456 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$32 +2.2% | 2 |
| 54d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,008 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 54d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 54d | win-ok2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $3,106 | −$3,106 −100% | 4 |
| 54d | detoxification | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,511 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 55d | MirrorOutcome | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,801 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | TraceView | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,714 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 55d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,091 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | PmDerek | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | mulpodsa852 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,425 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 55d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | 0x4245…62eb | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,043 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 55d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | gobblewobble4 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,767 | +$104 +2.2% | 2 |
| 55d | shabbysalta | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,974 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | shabbysalta | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 55d | winwin10086 | 78,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,294 | −$2,294 −100% | 3 |
| 56d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 59d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$50 +2.0% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.