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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −27 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | mulpodsa85 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,735 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 53d | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 53d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,912 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 53d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | 0xa1f7…3fdb | 78,000 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,292 | −$655 −20% | — |
| 53d | gobblewobble2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$224 +10% | 3 |
| 53d | 1881aa2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,593 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 53d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 53d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | Mizukaze | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,672 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 53d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,550 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,932 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 53d | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,785 | +$20 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 53d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,288 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | Candela2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,346 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | Glennraven | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | YautjaPM2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,781 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | LunaLancer | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,109 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 53d | baba14432 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,696 | +$129 +2.7% | 2 |
| 53d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | −$32 −2.5% | — |
| 53d | LunaLancer | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,105 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,044 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 53d | joyanderson | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,589 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | gregory67 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,300 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | ndjkasn | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,466 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 53d | 0xa1f7…3fdb | 78,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | +$1,684 +89% | 5 |
| 53d | hhaley | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,500 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 53d | jrfjftj | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | Dou123 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$26 +1.7% | 2 |
| 53d | ndjkasn | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d | 0xDB5 | 76,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$54 −3.3% | — |
| 53d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 53d | ndjkasn | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,464 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 53d | AndrianoLamo | 78,000 | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$1,256 −104% | — |
| 53d | WanTonMee3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,547 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d | Rust701 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$35 +1.7% | 2 |
| 53d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 53d | gekko123456 | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$43 +2.9% | 2 |
| 53d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$50 +3.8% | 2 |
| 53d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,485 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | AndrianoLamo | 78,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$461 +23% | 4 |
| 53d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,780 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 53d | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 53d | YautjaPM2 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,539 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | 78,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 | |
| 53d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,791 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 53d | Glennraven | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,289 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 53d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,289 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 53d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 |
| 53d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 53d | Rundown-Regard | 78,000 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,248 | −$1,248 −100% | 6 |
| 53d | Rundown-Regard | 78,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 5 |
| 53d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 53d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,859 | +$506 +13% | 2 |
| 53d | 1881aa | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$32 +1.7% | 2 |
| 53d | ndjkasn | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$32 +2.2% | 2 |
| 53d | yiliu | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,238 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 53d | lingke | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.