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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,284 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | Serene-Decision | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,617 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Serene-Decision | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,865 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 79d | averagerandomman4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,443 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 79d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,715 | +$78 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 79d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,437 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 79d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,142 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 79d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,718 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,872 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | gobblewobble4 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,434 | +$424 +9.6% | 3 |
| 79d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,500 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 79d | mulpodsa85 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,534 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,145 | +$47 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 79d | 64,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$125 +12% | 3 | |
| 79d | hungrykittens | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 79d | Soulful-Founder | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 79d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,842 | +$812 +10% | 3 |
| 79d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$270 +12% | 3 |
| 79d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,491 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,438 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 79d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,109 | +$126 +1.8% | 2 |
| 79d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,620 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,697 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 79d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,815 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 79d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 79d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,389 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 79d | easypredict2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | +$159 +4.5% | 2 |
| 79d | YautjaPM2 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | Navigator772 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,790 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 79d | Navigator77 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 79d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 79d | onlyhit | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 79d | Gregarious-Distribution | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 79d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 79d | Soulful-Founder | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 79d | Dou123 | 66,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | +$60 +3.4% | 2 |
| 79d | ppobb1123 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,668 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Gozila | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Alanfree | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Overcooked-Spinach | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | seunghanlee | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | 0xzig | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 79d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 79d | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,552 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 79d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,301 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 79d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,450 | +$92 +1.2% | 2 |
| 79d | atkw | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,980 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 79d | supalien | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,600 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | HANK111 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Bigold | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,200 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Rust701 | 66,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | −$91 −5.4% | — |
| 79d | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,423 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 79d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,423 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 79d | YoungAndFree | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | cantrylah2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,133 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 79d | Rust701 | 66,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$187 +12% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.