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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88,000 | 0% | −28 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +36 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +12 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309d |  noreasapa | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,881 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,597 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Sharky69993 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,488 | +$165 +0.3% | 2 |
| 309d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,953 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | amused85 | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | FndjjDjj | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Thin-Print3 fills | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $28,636 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Momentumtrades2 fills | 88,000 | SellNo66¢ → 100¢ | $26,481 | −$13,518 −51% | — |
| 309d | wexjoe2 | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $28,721 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Funboyboy | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,061 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | Will8fanglaicai | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 309d | Schpiro | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 309d | Petyaaa | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | −$100 −1.0% | — |
| 309d | astromage | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,333 | +$74 +1.0% | 2 |
| 309d | xxSecretSaucexx | 88,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $1,430 | −$1,430 −100% | 2 |
| 309d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced133 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $4,838 | +$9,729 +201% | 9 |
| 309d | fjrertf | 88,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $3,996 | −$3,996 −100% | 2 |
| 309d | averagerandomman | 88,000 | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$2,119 +170% | 3 |
| 309d |  LelonBull | 88,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $8,058 | −$8,058 −100% | 2 |
| 309d |  olegs | 88,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $17,647 | −$17,647 −100% | 2 |
| 309d | Parched-Banking | 88,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $2,834 | −$2,834 −100% | 2 |
| 309d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced1310 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $21,119 | −$21,119 −100% | 5 |
| 309d | by22wfv | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,174 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | located3 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,515 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | Tempting-Television | 88,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $2,481 | −$2,481 −100% | 3 |
| 309d | pedrosanchez69 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Momentumtrades | 88,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $5,656 | −$5,656 −100% | 3 |
| 309d | Eirikson | 88,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,428 | −$1,428 −100% | 4 |
| 309d | naruto-japper | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | naruto-japper | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 309d | Halluc1nate | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,071 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Hererfer | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,097 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Alexantenars1 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,221 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | shardbeam | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,323 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | fieldlock | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,432 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | piagopilva | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | ausTaiwan | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,592 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Momentumtrades2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,059 | +$2,354 +47% | 4 |
| 309d | geraldhew89 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | RoadtoPorsche911 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | RoadtoPorsche911 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | victorg82 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | Thin-Print | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,526 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | VOLaaas2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,073 | +$261 +1.2% | 2 |
| 309d |  UwO5 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $58,531 | +$1,026 +1.8% | 2 |
| 309d | bndfgtrrtre | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 309d | edseah | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,444 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced138 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $18,770 | +$3,228 +17% | 3 |
| 309d | noloainakaila | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 309d | siyi2 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 309d | yier222 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | l-love-you2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$21 +0.8% | 2 |
| 309d | enightcrypto | 92,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 309d | siwu2 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | penguinrainbows | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | KZMr | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,570 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 309d | Tempting-Television | 86,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | −$48 −1.9% | — |
| 309d | Fastgaard | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | +$14 +0.8% | 2 |
| 309d | Fastgaard | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,755 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 309d | geraldhew893 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$364 +1.8% | 2 |
LelonBull25,560 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 88,000 means the market gives it about 0%.