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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d |  noreasapa | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  BlackswanHunter | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,157 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  CptDerek | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,704 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | amused85 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Zzzzp | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,630 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  2121212121 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,827 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Little-Driver | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  patocojo | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,623 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | ltotheog | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d |  moomoomoo6 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,613 | +$142 +0.4% | 2 |
| 321d |  aketemola | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | Niudad | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,973 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 321d | Thin-Print3 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,686 | +$443 +4.6% | 2 |
| 321d | vvela3 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,556 | +$45 +0.6% | 2 |
| 321d |  ZeinST | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,797 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d |  InsuranceSavesMe2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,840 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d |  xomnft | 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 321d | averagerandomman | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,938 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  wrenrivera1204n | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,840 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 88,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,550 | −$661 −6.9% | — |
| 321d | wrenrivera1204n | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 321d | 2121212121 | 88,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$100 +5.8% | 2 |
| 321d | Little-Driver2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | +$81 +2.4% | 2 |
| 321d | 13s1d5a | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,091 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced134 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,567 | +$600 +9.1% | 2 |
| 321d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,482 | +$64 +0.6% | 2 |
| 321d | chiplis-994 | 90,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | −$49 −2.0% | — |
| 321d | heckno | 88,000 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $7,599 | −$2,152 −28% | — |
| 321d | averagerandomman2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | +$363 +14% | 3 |
| 321d |  cbkk1921 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | naruto-japper | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d |  rbtjd665 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,562 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | hustleday | 90,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$280 +7.5% | 3 |
| 321d | HesHIm | 90,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$49 +4.2% | 2 |
| 321d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 90,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $19,105 | −$7,538 −39% | — |
| 321d | xomnft | 90,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$71 +6.6% | 3 |
| 321d |  psychicpsychic | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,544 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | psychicpsychic11 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $54,313 | +$54 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | Multiso | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | penguinrainbows | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | moomoomoo3 fills | 88,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,407 | −$690 −7.3% | — |
| 321d | BlackswanHunter | 90,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,542 | +$619 +14% | 3 |
| 321d | patternrecovery2 fills | 90,000 | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $4,304 | −$4,418 −103% | — |
| 321d |  danielillo0077 | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 321d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,858 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | Carlgav | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,971 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 321d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | +$2,363 +100% | 5 |
| 321d | TooMunchWinning | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,463 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 321d | moomoomoo | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,704 | +$28 +0.6% | 2 |
| 321d | averagerandomman | 90,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,887 | −$1,887 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | moomoomoo | 90,000 | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $3,210 | +$3,210 +100% | — |
| 321d | edseah | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,374 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 321d | btxj2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,771 | +$275 +5.8% | 2 |
| 321d | btxj | 94,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | −$30 −1.4% | — |
| 321d | ReNtHaL | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 321d | Troubled-Scope | 90,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 3 |
| 321d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $15,078 | +$1,107 +7.3% | 2 |
| 321d | muchn00b | 92,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$145 −12% | — |
| 321d | Prof.Money-Exterminator | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 321d | claudecoder34 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,458 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
samhain4ik5,640 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 0%.