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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 0% | −50 pts | −97 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −21 pts | −93 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −9 pts | −85 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264d | ZenGambler | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,748 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Ducky3225 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | popitt | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,291 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | High-Level-Clan | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Identical-Schooner | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,602 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Positive-Ligula | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,119 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Far-Flung-Deadline | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,345 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | foux | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,941 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d |  Sherpal | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,402 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,973 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  FXC3 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,081 | +$119 +1.7% | 2 |
| 264d | powerFeng2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,578 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 264d |  GregSharp | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,941 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
| 264d | danimoreno.rl | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 264d | Rickz88 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | powerFeng | 78,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$35 −2.8% | — |
| 264d | Grouchy-Dining | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,861 | −$113 −1.1% | — |
| 264d | janetallen | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,492 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d |  Barron. | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,321 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | foux | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | KazamaHalu | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,797 | +$40 +0.7% | 2 |
| 264d | Grouchy-Dining | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,489 | +$64 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d |  Donateplease | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 264d | dz204 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 264d | Immediate-NeighbourNew account | 78,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$32 −3.0% | — |
| 264d | EricaXBT | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | momochang | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,975 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | debased4040 | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$44 +3.7% | 2 |
| 264d | janetallen | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,492 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | RekMyAds | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,397 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Untried-SpiralNew account | 78,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$243 +24% | 6 |
| 264d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,224 | +$616 +15% | 3 |
| 264d | listaRR | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 5f5a | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$83 +5.3% | 2 |
| 264d | Donateplease | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,606 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | pablosanchez2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,044 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | rpontici | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,856 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 78,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$290 +29% | 4 |
| 264d | CM.Lin | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | Oleksi1 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | easypredict | 78,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$158 +11% | 3 |
| 264d | PmDerek6 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,955 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | PmDerek7 fills | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,444 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966111 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $33,218 | +$20,113 +61% | 4 |
| 264d | dadadadada | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,659 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 264d | huangweiqiang88882 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | destinyzz | 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,460 | −$31 −1.3% | — |
| 264d | noloainakaila | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,922 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 264d | pedrosanchez69 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,719 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | destinyzz | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,417 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | hyx666 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | fdkAr5 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 264d | winterrrr | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Sane-WorkhorseNew account | 78,000 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 9 |
| 264d |  0x66b71 | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,206 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | upont | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,269 | +$74 +0.7% | 2 |
| 264d | zoquendo | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Moneyyes | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$20 +1.4% | 2 |
| 264d | Spry-Roundabout | 78,000 | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,912 | −$1,769 −36% | — |
| 264d | Hossam1 | 80,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$41 −3.8% | — |
Fartard7,517 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.