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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 100% | +58 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244d | wangfu | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | lanxbaba | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,373 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 244d | High-Level-Clan | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,017 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | ascetic0x | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,374 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | yes123321qw | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,473 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Gentle-Caliber | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,660 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,084 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | luigi | 68,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $9,091 | +$46 +0.5% | 2 |
| 244d | edseah | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,033 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | luwis99 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | StormJordan65 | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$25 +2.5% | 2 |
| 244d | pedrosanchez692 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,231 | +$261 +2.3% | 2 |
| 244d | Incognitoo | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,919 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | waddyup | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,104 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | averagerandomman | 68,000 | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,163 | −$1,163 −100% | 5 |
| 244d | averagerandomman | 68,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,328 | +$481 +11% | 3 |
| 244d | 68,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,758 | −$259 −9.4% | — | |
| 244d | crystalwells | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,637 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $59,173 | +$399 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 244d | Bustling-Repository | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | JustMME | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,176 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | dvito | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,813 | +$42 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 244d | Strict-Nanoparticle | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,197 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,379 | +$87 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 244d | pedrosanchez69 | 68,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,610 | −$555 −9.9% | — |
| 244d | key2 | 70,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,604 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 244d | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 244d | satrader88pm | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | Thin-Print | 70,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,436 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 244d | KaelNevermore | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,037 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 244d | tinco | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,585 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 244d | x5x5 | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 244d | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,219 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 244d | lensoso | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,950 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | Other-Walkway2 fills | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,076 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 244d | Litmo | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 244d | skyco | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 244d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | +$11,765 +149% | 7 |
| 244d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,359 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,285 | +$76 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 244d | 0x1104…5535 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,788 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 244d | reuben-11 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,277 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | IH2P | 68,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$65 +5.3% | 2 |
| 244d | 5f5a | 68,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$114 +7.5% | 3 |
| 244d | Rickz884 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,723 | +$66 +0.7% | 2 |
| 244d | Winbiggg | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 244d | wang0766 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 244d | PmDerek7 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,755 | +$36 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | PmDerek6 fills | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,483 | −$51 −0.2% | — |
| 244d | mulpodsa85 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,500 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | HJJ | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | fsag | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | HHAW | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | lnarix | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,899 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 244d | Vincentlyl | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,116 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | SkyLove7 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,368 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 244d | 70,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,660 | −$84 −0.8% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.