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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 0% | −37 pts | −93 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +29 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | +11 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −15 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | Biodegradable-PeltNew account | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,600 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | vghjgh | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,849 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  Joking22 | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,902 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | amused85 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  sayinhakansafi | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,091 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Trick | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,808 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Leo007 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,418 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | High-Level-Clan | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,328 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Kazbegi | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,469 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d |  dukunmarket2 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,985 | +$361 +4.5% | 2 |
| 256d | weschen | 70,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,568 | −$43 −1.7% | — |
| 256d |  FXC4 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,252 | +$596 +4.9% | 2 |
| 256d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | 70,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,819 | +$1,471 +39% | 4 |
| 256d | weschen | 70,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | +$170 +7.0% | 2 |
| 256d |  Kamikaze99 | 70,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $150,677 | +$1,323 +0.9% | 2 |
| 256d | Kazbegi | 70,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$204 +16% | 3 |
| 256d | fangniuwa3 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $5,947 | −$5,947 −100% | 3 |
| 256d | fangniuwa | 70,000 | SellNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | +$1,213 +100% | — |
| 256d | KaelNevermore | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | averagerandomman | 70,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,825 | +$536 +11% | 3 |
| 256d | joecai | 70,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$144 +12% | 3 |
| 256d | fangniuwa3 fills | 68,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,102 | −$141 −2.3% | — |
| 256d | foux | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | listaRR5 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,986 | +$35 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d |  Elenagrom | 70,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 2 |
| 256d |  Occult | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,148 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 256d |  scarecr0w | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,358 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 256d |  MarsianinY | 68,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,083 | −$73 −1.2% | — |
| 256d | kissbabyy2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,414 | +$24 +0.6% | 2 |
| 256d | averagerandomman5 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $12,045 | −$12,045 −100% | 3 |
| 256d | Real-Haversack | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 256d | shengkun | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 256d | iamgone | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,902 | +$120 +2.0% | 2 |
| 256d | jhtc | 70,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,689 | −$1,689 −100% | 3 |
| 256d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $10,044 | +$1,046 +10% | 2 |
| 256d | 45454654 fills | 72,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $19,351 | −$2,409 −12% | — |
| 256d |  upont | 70,000 | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $5,940 | +$5,940 +100% | — |
| 256d | Thrifty-Handicap | 70,000 | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,671 | +$1,671 +100% | — |
| 256d | leelinda | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,359 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 256d | Kazbegi | 68,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$52 −4.2% | — |
| 256d | fangniuwa2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,831 | +$326 +6.8% | 2 |
| 256d | toanhtoanh | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,623 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | fangniuwa | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,230 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 256d |  AcctToBeRetired2 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,206 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | leelinda | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,211 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 256d | 5f5a | 70,000 | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,383 | +$1,383 +100% | — |
| 256d | shengkun2 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,164 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 256d | 5f5a2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | −$2,551 −100% | 2 |
| 256d | Rickz882 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,822 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 256d | jhtc | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,652 | −$28 −0.5% | — |
| 256d | upont4 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,248 | +$68 +0.2% | 2 |
| 256d | upont | 70,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $6,705 | −$6,705 −100% | 3 |
| 256d | penguinrainbows | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 256d | 0x1461cC6e6 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $9,959 | +$4,507 +45% | 3 |
| 256d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $5,392 | −$5,392 −100% | 3 |
| 256d | reuben-11 | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,496 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | Xgs | 68,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 2 |
| 256d | pedrosanchez69 | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,094 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | Kazbegi | 68,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$135 +12% | 3 |
| 256d | fdfk16 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,010 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 0%.