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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 100% | +63 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −8 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +19 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d |  MooseDragonSZND | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,335 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | inno6493 fills | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,063 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 273d |  IMdelusional | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,985 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | ArtemCh | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,021 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | kalank | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,907 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | garrskilo | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | 0x1f25…21a4 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,248 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | John1455 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Circular-Wifi | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,090 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | wangziyang2 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 273d |  eI0zwvzk | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,416 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Tonyes | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$27 +1.2% | 2 |
| 273d | Thin-Print3 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,370 | +$112 +1.8% | 2 |
| 273d | eI0zwvzk | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,372 | +$49 +0.9% | 2 |
| 273d | wangziyang2 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,900 | +$100 +1.3% | 2 |
| 273d | Ryan222 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $51,950 | +$531 +1.0% | 2 |
| 273d |  dukunmarket2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$194 +1.9% | 2 |
| 273d |  foxly | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | +$69 +1.7% | 2 |
| 273d | 0xf705…3ca716 fills | 90,000 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $60,970 | −$28,594 −47% | — |
| 273d |  VULT6 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $16,212 | +$3,703 +23% | 4 |
| 273d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966111 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $24,321 | +$22,249 +91% | 4 |
| 273d | Bare-Halibut | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,057 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 273d | ace | 90,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$114 −9.5% | — |
| 273d | Circular-Wifi | 90,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,399 | +$275 +11% | 3 |
| 273d | 1231123123 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | averagerandomman6 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $9,675 | −$9,675 −100% | 5 |
| 273d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966119 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $42,278 | −$42,278 −100% | 4 |
| 273d |  BRG94 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,948 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | 0xf705…3ca715 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $42,939 | +$58,177 +135% | 10 |
| 273d |  upont | 90,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,174 | +$913 +18% | 3 |
| 273d | Barham83 | 90,000 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | −$622 −36% | — |
| 273d |  kboss | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,280 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | upont | 90,000 | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,579 | +$1,579 +100% | — |
| 273d | geraldhew89 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,469 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | Zigzag-Ambassador | 90,000 | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $2,986 | −$3,108 −104% | — |
| 273d | kingofcoinflips | 90,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$2,550 +100% | 5 |
| 273d | 0xf705…3ca725 fills | 90,000 | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $89,996 | +$89,996 +100% | — |
| 273d | naruto-japper | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,125 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Moneyyes | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 273d | kingofcoinflips12 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $39,657 | −$39,657 −100% | 3 |
| 273d | EricaXBT | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | kristin91 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,563 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 273d | Moneyyes | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,402 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 273d |  Joking22 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,251 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | kalank2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,899 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 273d | huawei2545 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 273d | cheyenne-ratione | 90,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,082 | −$1,082 −100% | 4 |
| 273d | huawei2545 | 88,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 273d | michics | 88,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $3,000 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 273d | noloainakaila | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,777 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 273d | lanxbaba | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | VULT3 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | −$4,600 −100% | 5 |
| 273d | upont2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,130 | +$337 +4.7% | 2 |
| 273d | huawei2545 | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 273d | polberg4 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $6,422 | −$6,422 −100% | 4 |
| 273d | lanxbaba | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 92,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $22,634 | −$675 −3.0% | — |
| 273d | ArtemCh | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 |
Fartard26,236 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.