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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −44 pts | −94 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −18 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +20 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266d |  Unpicked8974 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,693 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | Thin-Print | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,202 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,003 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | Thin-Print | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,267 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | fgjfdsf | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,032 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,760 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 266d |  HxBXC | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,588 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | Chrisstofer | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | dktur7 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,720 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | deeeadf | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,154 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d |  dafer | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,741 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | poopien | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | s1encio | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,194 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | poopien | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,126 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | 1337zzz1337 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | 1percentplz | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,857 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 266d |  Kimera- | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,426 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | weschen | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | EricaXBT | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,665 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | Wicked-Mayonnaise | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,583 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | noloainakaila | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,149 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | ppobb1123 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,939 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | iamgone | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,952 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | deeeadf | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,153 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | geraldhew89 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,962 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | kansann3 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,526 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | SkyLove7 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,474 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | Inferior-Birth | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,882 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d |  cryptomilion | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,433 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | edseah | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,975 | +$75 +0.8% | 2 |
| 266d | burningfruit3373 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,104 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 266d | Unpicked8974 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,555 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 266d | WuTangClan | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $66,479 | +$67 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | averagerandomman3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,733 | +$1,397 +24% | 3 |
| 266d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896619 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $29,692 | +$11,603 +39% | 3 |
| 266d | averagerandomman3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $5,625 | +$1,734 +31% | 4 |
| 266d | lanxbaba | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d |  GregSharp3 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | +$73 +3.7% | 3 |
| 266d |  psychicpsychic | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,391 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | Next-Wont | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$30 +1.7% | 2 |
| 266d | Next-Wont | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,739 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 266d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $16,380 | −$16,380 −100% | 17 |
| 266d |  HowToBasic | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d |  QQQA | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | unimog | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,226 | +$415 +4.5% | 2 |
| 266d | timothyguerrero | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,090 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | Fastgaard | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$169 +5.3% | 2 |
| 266d | jhtc | 84,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,561 | −$170 −6.6% | — |
| 266d |  BRG94 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,861 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 266d | pettyadam | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,669 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 266d |  10000Bets | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 266d | petermyers | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,678 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | pablosanchez | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,042 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 266d | averagerandomman | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,645 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 266d | PmDerek8 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,410 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | PmDerek8 fills | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,410 | −$47 −0.2% | — |
| 266d | jhtc | 84,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$300 +12% | 3 |
| 266d | fanbeixiazhu | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.