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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −88 pts | −95 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −35 pts | −90 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −11 pts | −80 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d |  UwO | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,938 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 265d |  zyq666 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,034 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | vvvix | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,853 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | IH2P | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,232 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | IH2P | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,070 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | IH2P | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,905 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | IH2P | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | IH2P | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,999 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | IH2P | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,383 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | huangweiqiang8888 | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,742 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | hyx666 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,857 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  AcctToBeRetired | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $15,525 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 0x82cb…5c27 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | trfytyyt | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  aldynspeedruns | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | dgrftgr | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | ftwerttw | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Grouchy-Dining | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,758 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  MrSiro | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,497 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  2121212121 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,464 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | jhtc | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,808 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | jindoudou | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | s1encio | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,201 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | Ryan22 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $128,683 | +$168 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Grouchy-Dining | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,654 | +$110 +1.7% | 2 |
| 265d | 0xentropy | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$26 +1.8% | 2 |
| 265d |  dukunmarket2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$156 +1.6% | 2 |
| 265d | weschen | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,401 | +$66 +1.9% | 2 |
| 265d | 2121212121 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,366 | +$105 +1.6% | 2 |
| 265d |  upont | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,998 | +$37 +1.8% | 2 |
| 265d | jindoudou | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$153 +5.4% | 2 |
| 265d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,265 | −$1,265 −100% | 6 |
| 265d |  VULT6 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $24,285 | +$3,929 +16% | 3 |
| 265d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896617 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $25,638 | +$4,077 +16% | 3 |
| 265d |  BoringPunter2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $56,806 | +$107 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | aa2d09C2333e9c3C3A512b051F14837126dBaEb9 | 80,000 | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,241 | −$1,241 −100% | 6 |
| 265d |  HomerSimpson69 | 80,000 | SellNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | +$1,171 +100% | — |
| 265d | zoquendo | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Repulsive-MacroNew account | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,642 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | PmDerek3 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,524 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | UwO5 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $27,325 | +$662 +2.4% | 2 |
| 265d |  ZeinST | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,180 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Hossam1 | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | −$35 −2.9% | — |
| 265d | zoquendo | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Danielty198 | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$37 +3.6% | 2 |
| 265d | AcctToBeRetired3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,412 | +$333 +5.2% | 2 |
| 265d |  cryptomilion2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,557 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966118 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $38,895 | +$17,503 +45% | 5 |
| 265d | averagerandomman6 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $18,893 | +$5,512 +29% | 4 |
| 265d | upont | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | averagerandomman4 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,243 | +$1,019 +14% | 3 |
| 265d | averagerandomman3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $3,985 | −$3,985 −100% | 4 |
| 265d | ZeinST | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | pablosanchez | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 265d | Bplnt | 82,000 | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | +$1,172 +100% | — |
| 265d | 0x59BA | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,991 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | fdkAr5 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | averagerandomman4 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,759 | +$360 +3.1% | 2 |
| 265d | PmDerek3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,304 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
Fartard195,899 shares
jewpresident37,245 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.