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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 100% | +45 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292d | luckybet2025 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,134 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,501 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 292d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 292d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,932 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 292d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,507 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 292d | sushi-boyy | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,322 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | Niudad | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,710 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | PmDerek4 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,902 | +$103 +1.2% | 2 |
| 292d | PmDerek2 fills | 90,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,214 | −$36 −0.6% | — |
| 292d | noloainakaila | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,135 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | PmDerek2 fills | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,477 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | cygg888 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | Fastgaard | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,546 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | 90,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$7 −0.6% | — | |
| 292d | vee17 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,822 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | edseah | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,915 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | pedrosanchez69 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | pedrosanchez69 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,896 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | PmDerek2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,453 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 292d | apium8711 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | baba1443 | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,859 | +$107 +1.8% | 2 |
| 292d | apium8711 | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$38 +1.9% | 2 |
| 292d | inno649 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | Thin-Print | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | WanTonMee | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,983 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 292d | claudecoder34 | 90,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 292d | claudecoder34 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,431 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 292d | 7aper | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,752 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | pablosanchez | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | Thin-Print2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,297 | +$128 +1.5% | 2 |
| 292d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,918 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | jiutailsfox | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,920 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | TSK888 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | Obedient-Photograph | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,565 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 292d | giftedbytheforest | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,570 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | 0x59BA | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | WireWalker | 90,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$29 −1.9% | — |
| 292d | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 292d | daojiao1ge | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,820 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | jayuan3 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,404 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 292d | baojifanbei | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$34 +1.7% | 2 |
| 292d | BadBaus | 92,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,740 | +$411 +7.2% | 3 |
| 292d | reuben-11 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,588 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 292d | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,200 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 292d | excel1256 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 292d | waterlili | 92,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$182 +8.3% | 3 |
| 292d | astrarog | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,156 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 292d | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,400 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 292d | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 293d | hyx666 | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | AngryPancake | 90,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | −$113 −6.4% | — |
| 293d | yoyopm2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,112 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | perp66 | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,742 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 293d | gigacoded | 92,000 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,685 | −$1,215 −33% | — |
| 293d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $10,897 | +$3,736 +34% | 3 |
| 293d | ah0.1 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,781 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 293d | 94,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 293d | WanTonMee | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,972 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 293d | degenv-eth | 90,000 | BuyNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 4 |
| 293d | kkrtyjyjt | 90,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$86 +5.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.