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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −68 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d | AnonymousPerson | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | Marioy | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | Serene-Decision3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,765 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 98d | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,880 | +$42 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 98d | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,290 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 98d | averagerandomman4 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,443 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 98d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,581 | +$314 +1.9% | 2 |
| 98d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | Timely-Expansionism | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 98d | dlkjshjbokf | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,600 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 98d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,369 | +$31 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 98d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 64,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$133 −11% | — |
| 98d | PmDerek2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,206 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,404 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | averagerandomman2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | +$221 +5.9% | 2 |
| 98d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,160 | +$427 +10% | 3 |
| 98d | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,454 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 98d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,026 | +$48 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 98d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,126 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 98d | Serene-Decision7 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,885 | +$86 +0.3% | 2 |
| 98d | 62,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$300 −11% | — | |
| 98d | 0xe617…f251 | 64,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$60 +3.0% | 2 |
| 98d | Serene-Decision3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,459 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 98d | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,038 | −$12 −0.3% | — | |
| 98d | 62,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | −$97 −8.6% | — | |
| 98d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,599 | +$147 +3.2% | 2 |
| 98d | JakeHursty | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$64 +2.6% | 2 |
| 98d | detoxification | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 98d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,589 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 98d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,990 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 98d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,745 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 98d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $8,398 | +$1,823 +22% | 3 |
| 98d | ppobb1123 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,404 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 99d | Rin2x | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,119 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,190 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 99d | YautjaPM2 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 99d | bearstodamoon2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,772 | +$32 +0.4% | 2 |
| 99d | Marioy | 62,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | +$313 +19% | 3 |
| 99d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 64,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$244 +11% | 3 |
| 99d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,156 | +$55 +0.9% | 2 |
| 99d | bearstodamoon2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,127 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Kirilli2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,543 | +$52 +1.5% | 2 |
| 99d | Gozila | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | Noelleee | 64,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$621 +37% | 4 |
| 99d | 0xzig | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | AlexHee | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | Alanfree | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | 64,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 6 | |
| 99d | Overcooked-Spinach | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | +$40 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 99d | kingofcoinflips | 64,000 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,630 | −$1,630 −100% | 4 |
| 99d | Bigold | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 99d | cantrylah2 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,835 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | 0x4773…2289 | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | +$44 +2.1% | 2 |
| 99d | ZZXZZ2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,534 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 99d | ZZXZZ | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,163 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 60,000 means the market gives it about 100%.