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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 0% | −9 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +43 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | DFDGDYHFUFUHJK | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | sfghjklkjmn | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Variable-Propane | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | FDRYHRDFUHY | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | RTDUJH6YTIK | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | RSYHDRGFV | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,089 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d |  Leisurely | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,086 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 113d |  upont | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 113d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,932 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 113d | averagerandomman | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 113d | Paul973973 | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,100 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 113d | Leisurely | 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 113d | noloainakaila | 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 |
| 113d | 0x0f00…73ce | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,115 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | edseah | 62,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,700 | +$705 +8.1% | 3 |
| 113d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,260 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | WanTonMee | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,913 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 113d | Mizukaze2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,614 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 113d |  Tttyh | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,694 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | Tttyh | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,670 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | EtherealEcho | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,177 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,657 | +$1,260 +22% | 3 |
| 113d | atkw | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,982 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 113d |  coinman2 | 62,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 5 |
| 113d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,135 | +$43 +0.5% | 2 |
| 113d | ascetic0x | 62,000 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | +$2,551 +100% | — |
| 113d | Suburban-Following | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,135 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | ascetic0x | 62,000 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,794 | −$1,794 −100% | 7 |
| 113d | Fine-Discrimination | 62,000 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,262 | +$1,262 +100% | — |
| 113d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$13 +0.8% | 2 |
| 113d | dex53 | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,086 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | Tttyh2 fills | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,107 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,410 | +$131 +1.1% | 2 |
| 113d | Tttyh3 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,505 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | PmDerek | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,323 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | yvonnemills2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,000 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 113d | meyermalik2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,114 | +$31 +0.4% | 2 |
| 113d | easyclap3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $13,688 | +$4,650 +34% | 2 |
| 113d | VasiliSko3 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,532 | +$37 +0.4% | 2 |
| 113d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,848 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | upont4 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,455 | +$223 +1.8% | 2 |
| 113d | upont | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,746 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 113d | shabbysalta2 fills | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,516 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | lanxbaba2 fills | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,326 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 113d | lanxbaba | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 113d |  Facaie | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 113d | anon.1980.123 | 58,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 113d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,616 | +$42 +1.2% | 2 |
| 113d | rdyhertyurtuer | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,409 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | Incognitoo3 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,182 | +$150 +1.8% | 2 |
| 113d | gfddas | 64,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 113d | 1881aa | 64,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | −$36 −1.7% | — |
| 113d | FDahfdsgf | 64,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | −$21 −1.3% | — |
| 113d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 60,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$176 +16% | 3 |
| 113d | detoxification2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,472 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 113d |  olegs2 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 113d |  smokyCappuccino2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,691 | +$92 +2.0% | 2 |
| 113d | Tttyh2 fills | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,072 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 113d | Tttyh4 fills | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,155 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK8,866 shares
ddnpl6,559 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 64,000 means the market gives it about 0%.