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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +32 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93d | Sick-Many | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,137 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | bot2582 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,930 | +$150 +1.5% | 2 |
| 93d | URAL173 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,946 | +$469 +4.7% | 2 |
| 93d | 66,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,942 | +$207 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 93d | 66,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$80 +5.8% | 2 | |
| 93d | 66,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$211 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 93d | onlyhit | 66,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$115 +6.4% | 3 |
| 93d | tenorplum | 66,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | +$129 +6.4% | 3 |
| 93d | SkyLove7 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,882 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,826 | +$120 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 93d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,295 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | WanTonMee | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,014 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,398 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 93d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,282 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 93d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,006 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 93d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,046 | +$49 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 93d | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,882 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 93d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,344 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 93d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,398 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 93d | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,988 | −$12 −0.3% | — | |
| 93d | GoingGangrene | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | Doomster | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,820 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,100 | +$71 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 93d | Mizukaze | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,768 | +$32 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | WanTonMee | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,008 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | alevtinakravcova | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 93d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,981 | −$19 −0.4% | — | |
| 93d | Noelleee | 66,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,007 | −$2,007 −100% | 4 |
| 93d | Funboyboy3 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,876 | +$149 +0.7% | 2 |
| 93d | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$57 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 93d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$15 +0.7% | 2 |
| 93d | Funboyboy3 fills | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,116 | −$57 −0.9% | — |
| 93d | Serene-Decision2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,957 | +$60 +0.9% | 2 |
| 93d | iaejuan | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,431 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 93d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,155 | −$17 −0.1% | — | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,731 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | Sikebissy2 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | Incognitoo2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,179 | +$44 +1.1% | 2 |
| 93d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,453 | +$216 +1.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,221 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,567 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,258 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,405 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,282 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,570 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,123 | +$497 +7.0% | 2 |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,525 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | SoulSpider | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | Funboyboy | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,843 | +$90 +1.5% | 2 |
| 93d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,317 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 93d | Sstho | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.