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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64,000 | 100% | +23 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 64,000 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $20,578 | −$3,115 −15% | — |
| 91d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,252 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | SkyLove7 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | noloainakaila | 64,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$38 −3.7% | — |
| 91d | onlyhit | 64,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,189 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 91d | tenorplum | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,674 | +$22 +0.8% | 2 |
| 91d | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$29 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 91d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$142 +11% | 3 |
| 91d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,719 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 91d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,042 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | PmDerek | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,911 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $3,147 | +$2,480 +79% | 5 |
| 91d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,495 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 91d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | Incognitoo2 fills | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,651 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 91d | 0xf705…3ca712 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $25,774 | +$5,039 +20% | 3 |
| 91d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $2,247 | −$2,247 −100% | 5 |
| 91d | mulpodsa85 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 91d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$27 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 91d | Serene-Decision | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d | WanTonMee | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,025 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d | Mizukaze3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,655 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 91d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,026 | +$117 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 91d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,482 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 91d | Dou123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,088 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 91d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,248 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 91d | anon.1980.123 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,836 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 91d | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | +$13 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 91d | Funboyboy6 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,288 | +$314 +1.7% | 2 |
| 91d | 0xvanilla | 64,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$117 −9.8% | — |
| 91d | MU247 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,011 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 91d | Dou123 | 66,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$107 +5.4% | 2 |
| 91d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,919 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 91d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,831 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 92d | easypredict3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $11,976 | +$2,083 +17% | 3 |
| 92d | Candela | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,566 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d | Candela2 fills | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 92d | YautjaPM2 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,862 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,294 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 92d | ZZXZZ | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 92d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 92d | easypredict2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $4,609 | −$4,609 −100% | 8 |
| 92d | Rust701 | 64,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$79 −7.5% | — |
| 92d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 92d | Marioy | 64,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 2 |
| 92d | MirrorOutcome | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,813 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 92d | ReflectLens | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,360 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 92d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,694 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | seunghanlee | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | FCGHDSFT | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | hgtrfdh | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,710 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Overcooked-Spinach | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,560 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Gozila | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,850 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Alanfree | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,880 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | 0xzig | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | supalien | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Bigold | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,335 | +$42 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.