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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 0% | −13 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −80 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Embellished-Cruise | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,964 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,234 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,473 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  Leisurely | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,570 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | noloainakaila | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,100 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Gozila | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,880 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,184 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d |  patocojo | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,836 | +$1,404 +16% | 3 |
| 84d | neutralwave23 | 64,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,732 | −$795 −17% | — |
| 84d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,004 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 84d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | farthingmore | 62,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$76 +7.4% | 3 |
| 84d | WanTonMee | 60,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 84d | Embellished-Cruise | 62,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$77 +5.7% | 3 |
| 84d | hungrykittens | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,200 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 84d | 0xf705…3ca718 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $50,691 | +$978 +1.9% | 2 |
| 84d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | 62,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $22,150 | −$2,374 −11% | — |
| 84d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 64,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | −$16 −1.2% | — |
| 84d | 0xDB5 | 64,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,142 | +$97 +1.9% | 2 |
| 84d | averagerandomman6 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,665 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$79 +7.5% | 3 |
| 84d |  Tttyh2 fills | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $20,305 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  GoodLuck68886 | 62,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 84d | Tttyh | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,165 | +$39 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d |  gugu-gaga | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,015 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | VasiliSko4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,211 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Assured-Familiarity | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,872 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | 0xf705…3ca722 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $44,765 | +$1,143 +2.6% | 2 |
| 85d | kingofcoinflips | 64,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$924 +85% | 5 |
| 85d | Funboyboy3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,756 | +$81 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | Hourglass2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,317 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,379 | +$99 +1.3% | 2 |
| 85d | Leisurely | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,900 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | Heavenly-Job | 64,000 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$528 −43% | — |
| 85d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$626 +45% | 4 |
| 85d | YautjaPM2 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 85d | YautjaPM2 | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 85d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 62,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 85d |  jakebet3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,577 | +$56 +0.8% | 2 |
| 85d | Slim-Odometer | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 85d | cck23497 | 64,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,182 | −$1,182 −100% | 4 |
| 85d | kingofcoinflips | 64,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 4 |
| 85d | Tttyh3 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,106 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $27,312 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 85d |  walnascar | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$20 +0.8% | 2 |
| 85d | Alanfree | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | bearstodamoon2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,776 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | Bigold | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 85d | cantrylah23 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,013 | +$47 +0.4% | 2 |
| 85d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,642 | −$1,642 −100% | 3 |
| 85d | 0xzig | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 85d | supalien | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,600 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 85d | Overcooked-Spinach | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,783 | +$47 +0.6% | 2 |
| 85d | Gozila | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,880 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | Marioy | 64,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,305 | −$1,305 −100% | 3 |
| 85d | Kirilli | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 85d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,266 | +$34 +0.8% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK35,163 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.