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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128d | GoingGangrene | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d |  Tttyh | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  Tudorpopirl | 66,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 128d | Tttyh3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,525 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | Tttyh2 fills | 54,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,309 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | bot258 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,774 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | Snappy-Estimate | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,340 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | dlkjshjbokf | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,634 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 128d | WCWS2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,953 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 128d | Navigator77 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 128d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,511 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | edseah | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,100 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 |
| 128d |  VasiliSko | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 128d | goodgoodstudy1 | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 128d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 128d | VasiliSko | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,335 | +$26 +1.1% | 2 |
| 128d | VasiliSko5 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,436 | +$54 +0.3% | 2 |
| 128d |  Cericken | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,568 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d |  gebilaowang | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,580 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d |  SlanderX | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | VasiliSko | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,617 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 128d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$237 +11% | 3 |
| 129d | ascetic0x | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,799 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$56 +5.3% | 2 |
| 129d | ZZXZZ2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,884 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 129d | YautjaPM2 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 129d | termita88 | 66,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | −$119 −7.1% | — |
| 129d | PmDerek2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,796 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 129d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$293 +11% | 2 |
| 129d | Xgs | 64,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$255 +15% | 3 |
| 129d | Tudorpopirl | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,917 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 129d |  GoodLuck68886 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,388 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 129d | hungrykittens | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,664 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  Facaie | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 129d | j5673 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d |  Mike1875 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 129d | 1881aa | 62,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | −$32 −1.1% | — |
| 129d | bitsniper | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | MU247 | 62,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 129d | WanTonMee4 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,546 | +$30 +0.4% | 2 |
| 129d | 901190112 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,214 | +$321 +10% | 2 |
| 129d | Overcooked-Spinach | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,290 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 129d | 90119011 | 64,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | −$226 −17% | — |
| 129d | Illustrious-Notebook | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 129d | averagerandomman3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$35 +1.1% | 2 |
| 129d |  Waffe | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,672 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 129d |  Hingelli | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,582 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 129d |  Pollynn | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 129d | Tttyh | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,309 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 129d | Tudorpopirl | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,836 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 129d |  Carmans | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,685 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 129d | luckybet2025 | 66,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$187 +12% | 3 |
| 129d |  Sherog | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,212 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 129d |  Vington | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 129d | luckybet2025 | 64,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | −$349 −22% | — |
| 129d |  CryptoSunny | 66,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$153 −14% | — |
| 129d | GoodLuck688862 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,824 | +$46 +1.6% | 2 |
| 129d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,308 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 70,000 means the market gives it about 0%.