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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64,000 | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125d |  upont10 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $49,806 | +$650 +1.3% | 2 |
| 125d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$511 +18% | 2 |
| 125d |  FXC | 64,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,648 | −$402 −11% | — |
| 125d | Predict90 | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 125d |  patocojo | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$55 +1.2% | 2 |
| 125d | SkyLove7 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,063 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d |  aketemola | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | bot258 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,219 | +$82 +1.3% | 2 |
| 125d | makemoney2025 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 2 |
| 125d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $8,425 | +$1,917 +23% | 4 |
| 125d | omnibus-00c8ef | 64,000 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $5,353 | −$1,448 −27% | — |
| 125d | Zern | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,056 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | upont | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,357 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d |  walnascar | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,258 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | vedaresearch.btc | 64,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$1,078 +92% | 5 |
| 125d | averagerandomman3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,750 | +$42 +0.5% | 2 |
| 125d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,530 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 125d | averagerandomman2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,055 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | MU247 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  Tudorpopirl | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,664 | −$1,664 −100% | 2 |
| 125d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,747 | +$38 +0.5% | 2 |
| 125d |  VasiliSko7 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,625 | +$125 +0.4% | 2 |
| 125d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | Tudorpopirl | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,175 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 125d |  ouyojhb | 64,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | −$1,052 −100% | 2 |
| 125d |  Tttyh2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,393 | +$62 +0.7% | 2 |
| 125d | WanTonMee | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,904 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d |  whiteL | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | ascetic0x3 fills | 64,000 | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $4,589 | +$4,589 +100% | — |
| 125d | VasiliSko2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,240 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 125d |  smokyCappuccino | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,188 | +$17 +0.4% | 2 |
| 125d | smokyCappuccino | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,084 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 125d | luckybet2025 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,786 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 125d | smokyCappuccino | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,703 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $12,698 | −$12,698 −100% | 3 |
| 126d | Doomster | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,398 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 126d | DriaMarianalzq | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,055 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | CleaRebecazom | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,057 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | bearstodamoon | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,154 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,476 | +$40 +1.1% | 2 |
| 126d | Gregarious-Distribution | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,557 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d |  CHINANO1 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,507 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | DFFSESRDEFGHTDH | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 126d | Variable-Propane | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 126d | ZZXZZ2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 126d | tryyghsadfgazdg | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,035 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | zdgvxhdthrtj | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,034 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | MirrorOutcome | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,082 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 126d | reyedgszdgvbszdb | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,033 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 126d | ytgjfjdfjhkfg | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,033 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 126d | drdtjhdjtfj | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,030 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 126d | dtdjfhshjgf | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,031 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 126d | udrsrgysgedsh | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,028 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 126d | GJHKLRTKIUGYFD | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 126d | sdhkhjkjgf | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 126d | DSFGHJKL | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 126d | FGFHTJHJDFSDVFG | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 126d | dgffdgdfxgdfxh | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 126d | Dear-Severity | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
Fartard10,960 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.