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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123d | 901190112 fills | 66,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | −$269 −12% | — |
| 123d | Nothfail | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,643 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | Timely-Expansionism | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 123d | 0xedwin1 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,154 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | edseah | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,200 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | smkorea7489 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,805 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 123d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 123d | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,607 | +$101 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,996 | +$38 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 123d | Nothfail | 66,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 123d | Incognitoo4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$75 +1.1% | 2 |
| 123d | DSFGHJKL | 66,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$26 −2.2% | — |
| 123d | 64,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,021 | −$131 −3.3% | — | |
| 123d | Nothfail | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$23 +2.3% | 2 |
| 123d | GRFFHDFGHFDJDCGJ | 66,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$40 −3.5% | — |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,444 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | WanTonMee | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,246 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | 901190112 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,224 | +$142 +6.4% | 2 |
| 123d | Suburban-Following | 66,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$99 −9.2% | — |
| 123d | averagerandomman2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$145 +6.9% | 3 |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,567 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,172 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | Incognitoo | 66,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | −$199 −13% | — |
| 123d | Rust7012 fills | 62,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | −$203 −8.1% | — |
| 123d | lanxbaba | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,940 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,226 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,248 | +$75 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 123d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,616 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 123d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,929 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 123d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 123d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,530 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 123d | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,838 | +$28 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 123d | hungrykittens | 62,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 123d | 0x4773…2289 | 66,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$30 +2.7% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$432 +37% | 4 | |
| 123d | TranquilTide | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 123d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,726 | +$1,671 +61% | 5 |
| 123d | averagerandomman9 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,904 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | averagerandomman14 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,548 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | wakakakakakaka | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$66 +1.6% | 2 |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,311 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,350 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,605 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,029 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,120 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,823 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,647 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,523 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 58,000 means the market gives it about 100%.