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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58,000 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −93 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −21 pts | −98 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +46 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | hungrykittens | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | hungrykittens | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d |  Bare-Fellow | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,236 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | bot258 | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | runrunrunitup | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | tenorplum | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,068 | +$505 +16% | 3 |
| 137d | edseah | 64,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$205 +4.3% | 2 |
| 137d |  voidmami | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 137d |  Heliethal | 64,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$490 +20% | 3 |
| 137d | wang0766 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,051 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,319 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Remorseful-Hepatitis | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,042 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | edseah | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,526 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d |  VasiliSko | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,830 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d |  Malfunction. | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,642 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | hjn1023 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,786 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | mallemaarten | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | averagerandomman | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | BunCaCham | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,850 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | vicpips | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,514 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 137d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,540 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | msantos1968 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,041 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 137d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,013 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,226 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | 1881aa | 62,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,056 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d | 0xvanilla | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | wtde | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d |  foxy | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,593 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 137d |  Wanani | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Wanani | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 137d |  Tttyh | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,493 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d |  Baldonna | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d | anon.1980.123 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,239 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,788 | +$30 +1.1% | 2 |
| 137d |  Effes | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Effes | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,510 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d |  Tter | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,554 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Timely-Expansionism | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,800 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d | H.xs | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,133 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d |  Ekoaa | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d | BigBossBowser | 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,195 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d |  Haruko | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d |  Lewelch | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | lanxbaba | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | VasiliSko | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,394 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | guccigopnik | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d |  Malake | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,160 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d | Rin2x | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,207 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 137d | bhkMarvin | 60,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,702 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d | Feralayna | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,587 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 137d | Navigator77 | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,305 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d |  ZeinST2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,908 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Tttyh2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | 0xe617…f251 | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 137d | 0xe617…f251 | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$22 +0.9% | 2 |
| 137d |  Oleynell | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,013 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
Oriane12,280 shares
Augur9x7,776 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 58,000 means the market gives it about 100%.