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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205d | Possums | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,932 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | polpredictor | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,681 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,871 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,930 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  Miffffy | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,434 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  upont2 fills | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,771 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Thin-Print | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,093 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Marioy | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,439 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  Facaie | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,108 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | KaelNevermore | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,466 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Seongyoun | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,684 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  lata | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  BlackswanHunter | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,579 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | 0002paxk | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,233 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Thoughtful-YellowjacketNew account | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,062 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | SuperCoolivo | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,036 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | lIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlIlI | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,228 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Thin-Print | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,897 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Musty-Clay | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,886 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 205d | dahexiang3-16 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | AnonymousPerson | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | upont3 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,147 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | hjhiugnghu | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,725 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d |  lasiweijiasi | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,817 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 205d |  VasiliSko | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,471 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d | Vital-Ideal | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,022 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 205d | VictoriousIV | 66,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,029 | −$48 −0.9% | — |
| 205d | shengkun | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 205d | wyh. | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 205d | Facaie2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,827 | +$130 +2.7% | 2 |
| 205d | hersoan2025 | 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$31 +1.5% | 2 |
| 205d | Thin-Print | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,054 | +$43 +1.1% | 2 |
| 205d | Profile-Setting2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $8,682 | +$3,814 +44% | 4 |
| 205d | XVFlow | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,261 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | umtc4m | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,235 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | hjhiugnghu | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,691 | +$26 +1.5% | 2 |
| 205d | cccuh | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,934 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d |  win-ok | 66,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$107 +7.3% | 3 |
| 205d | Thin-Print | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,719 | +$88 +1.0% | 2 |
| 205d | Thin-Print | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,864 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | edseah | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,178 | +$80 +1.1% | 2 |
| 205d | hjhiugnghu | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,718 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d |  smokyCappuccino | 66,000 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,376 | −$216 −16% | — |
| 205d | wyh. | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 205d |  Tttyh2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | Tttyh2 fills | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,920 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | zx323 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  Joking22 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,007 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | kwo62920 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,113 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | VasiliSko2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,293 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d | Clawbangers | 68,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | +$169 +11% | 3 |
| 205d | Facaie2 fills | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,661 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 205d | bellawella | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 205d | tomccy | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,582 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | fdkAr5 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Nururururu | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 205d | mallemaarten | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 205d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,927 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 205d | 0x847f…9dd22 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,871 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 205d | VelvetVoyageur | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,215 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.