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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +13 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −27 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,586 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 164d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,975 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | cakes | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 12808f07 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,719 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 90119011 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 164d | Faithful-Jazz | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | AnonymousPerson | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | MU247 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,410 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | YEHSIshi | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,560 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | jc222 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,308 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 0x87ee…597f | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,271 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 164d | Qasdft | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 164d | Happy-Salsa | 82,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,001 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 164d | noloainakaila | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,890 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,300 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 164d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 164d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,096 | +$51 +0.8% | 2 |
| 164d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,025 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | jc2223 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,710 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $10,022 | +$905 +9.0% | 2 |
| 164d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$55 +5.2% | 2 |
| 164d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | AnonymousPerson | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,093 | +$79 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 164d | gobblewobble3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,549 | +$459 +10% | 3 |
| 164d | 0x9712…c075 | 80,000 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | −$435 −20% | — |
| 164d | 0x5616…2106 | 80,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | −$312 −22% | — |
| 164d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,732 | +$109 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 164d | SkyLove7 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,509 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 164d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,398 | +$49 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 164d | 0x8fef…06c9 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,230 | +$301 +2.7% | 2 |
| 164d | gobblewobble2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,427 | +$282 +12% | 3 |
| 164d | nomalmaker | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,362 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,085 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,777 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,259 | +$666 +20% | 3 |
| 165d | Tianhe | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,500 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 165d | 0x7D71cC3edF3136976912a491cdFdB5E547BcA91 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,705 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | watersand3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $12,500 | +$1,355 +11% | 3 |
| 165d | jidong9808 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 165d | JHValueUp | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 165d | winnerz100 | 80,000 | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,697 | −$1,697 −100% | 9 |
| 165d | GetLucky9993 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,246 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | Funboyboy | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,469 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 165d | cakes | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,010 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | cakes | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,950 | +$50 +0.2% | 2 |
| 165d | 0x7D71cC3edF3136976912a491cdFdB5E547BcA91 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,089 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 165d | WanTonMee2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,324 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 165d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,496 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 165d | 0x9712…c075 | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$109 +4.3% | 2 |
| 165d | Funboyboy | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,805 | +$56 +0.2% | 2 |
| 165d | 0x5616…2106 | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$65 +3.8% | 2 |
| 165d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,246 | +$576 +7.9% | 3 |
| 165d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,973 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 165d | Shadow15jose | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,404 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 165d | mohammedabdulazeez | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.