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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −69 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | anon.1980.123 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,228 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | Grubby-Haircut | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,790 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | 12808f07 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,821 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | Incognitoo | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,911 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,372 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,554 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 163d |  Facaie | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | cakes | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,781 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | cakes | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,523 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | MU247 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,414 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 163d |  Aleph777 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,004 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | BunCaCham | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,482 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d |  patocojo | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,400 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d | testtesttesttesttest000 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,800 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d | kkyys | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,622 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 163d | RootWoot | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,819 | −$47 −0.8% | — |
| 163d | 1881aa3 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,277 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d |  FXC | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 163d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,833 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | wtde | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d | YEHSIshi | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,565 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d | dk2phyllis | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $3,008 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 163d | 1881aa | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 163d |  smokyCappuccino | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,329 | −$137 −1.5% | — |
| 163d | Qasdft | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 163d | Valerianka | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,709 | +$16 +0.9% | 2 |
| 163d | YShsdf | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 163d | Sdghtww | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 163d | KIsjdi | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 163d | Fdshyt | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 163d | Ujdiwad | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 163d | Ksjbfaw | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$30 +2.8% | 2 |
| 163d | SHudha | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$37 +3.4% | 2 |
| 163d | LDJdhwid | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$38 +3.5% | 2 |
| 163d | Grubby-Haircut | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,312 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | ian2.0 | 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,038 | +$428 +7.1% | 3 |
| 163d |  aketemola | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,417 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d | SkyLove7 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,686 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d | AZwater | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,350 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 163d | 0xf367…212e | 80,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,073 | −$2,073 −100% | 8 |
| 163d | Outrageous-Table6 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,164 | +$36 +0.5% | 2 |
| 163d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,060 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $5,342 | +$1,447 +27% | 4 |
| 163d | lanxbaba | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d | Outrageous-Table | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,276 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 163d | smkorea7489 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d |  VasiliSko4 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,404 | +$41 +0.6% | 2 |
| 163d | JHValueUp | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d | BigBossBowser | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,293 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d |  EA-SY | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | Br26 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 163d | VasiliSko3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,252 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 163d | suntori | 82,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 163d |  kAraBoga8964 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$15 +0.9% | 2 |
| 163d | lele1125 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 163d | Br26 | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | −$32 −1.3% | — |
| 163d | cakes | 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $8,476 | +$43 +0.5% | 2 |
Griffiths8,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.