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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +28 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −16 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | finescriptograficos | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,064 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 151d |  Miffffy | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,823 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | ZZXZZ | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,734 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,411 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 151d |  upont | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,706 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,169 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Colorful-Fireplace | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,272 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | SuperShineX | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,935 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | 0002paxk | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,164 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Srarnbwx | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,375 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Thoughtful-Yellowjacket | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,985 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 151d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,671 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | KJHhjdfy | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | rusgreat2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,474 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 151d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 151d | jc222 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,672 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 151d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$17 +0.4% | 2 |
| 151d | 2024 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,154 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $9,400 | +$2,719 +29% | 2 |
| 151d | Obedient-Team | 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$94 +6.2% | 3 |
| 151d | Mizukaze2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,246 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | EddyAncogld | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,827 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | TFGHJdytm | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | AfsDFfh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | DASfdhk | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | KJHFksfn | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d |  ouyojhb | 78,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$132 −8.7% | — |
| 151d | ADhgfhf | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | rusgreat | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 151d | Timely-Expansionism | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$24 +2.0% | 2 |
| 151d | fasDsR | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 151d | bitsniper | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,006 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $7,130 | +$36 +0.5% | 2 |
| 151d | DAdADear | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 151d | Mizukaze | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | tomccy | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,964 | +$36 +0.6% | 2 |
| 151d | baba1443 | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$115 +5.3% | 2 |
| 151d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,143 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,988 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | doshshirl | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | trading123682 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$609 +7.8% | 3 |
| 151d |  Cayou | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 151d | FsdSfd | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$71 +7.0% | 3 |
| 151d | adAdfDS | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$77 +7.5% | 3 |
| 151d | EddyAncogld | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,017 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | WanTonMee3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,832 | +$81 +0.5% | 2 |
| 151d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,259 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | JHValueUp | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d |  Facaie | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | Funboyboy2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,264 | +$38 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | 0x9712…c075 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,999 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 151d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,148 | +$45 +0.4% | 2 |
| 151d | deranged3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,783 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | ouyojhb | 78,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$203 +14% | 3 |
| 151d |  lasiweijiasi | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,573 | +$22 +0.6% | 2 |
| 151d | ASDFdfhj | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 151d | JFfde | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 151d | QWfsgsgd | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 151d | ASdfyj | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 151d | LKDifnw | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK6,375 shares
alanm5,000 shares
Libitum4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.