Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −32 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150d | wangfu | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | xinfu | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,103 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  Tudorpopirl | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Rust701 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,048 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | jc222 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,407 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,618 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Srarnbwx | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,375 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Thoughtful-Yellowjacket | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,983 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | SuperShineX | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,934 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | 0002paxk | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,163 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | BunCaCham | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,860 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | kai-xin | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,338 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  noreasapa | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,244 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | deranged4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,198 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 150d | deranged3 fills | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,309 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | dex53 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,332 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 150d |  Tttyh6 fills | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,982 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | 20242 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,732 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,320 | +$171 +1.5% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh3 fills | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,350 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | JHValueUp | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | 0xe502…fba0 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,304 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 150d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$19 +1.2% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh3 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,638 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$37 +1.2% | 2 |
| 150d | Dense-Muscat | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$42 +1.4% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  olegs | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,931 | +$127 +1.8% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh5 fills | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | kai-xin | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$24 +1.8% | 2 |
| 150d | Spice01 | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,738 | +$32 +1.8% | 2 |
| 150d | edseah | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,100 | +$130 +1.8% | 2 |
| 150d | messixyz | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,805 | +$345 +1.8% | 2 |
| 150d | EddyAncogld | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,869 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | redvinny | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,357 | +$98 +2.2% | 2 |
| 150d | deranged4 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $28,838 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | adAdfDS | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$24 +2.2% | 2 |
| 150d |  FraterTetractous | 78,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | −$130 −6.4% | — |
| 150d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 78,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$174 +14% | 3 |
| 151d | Funboyboy2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,489 | +$38 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | AINY001 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,767 | −$31 −0.4% | — |
| 151d | wuue | 78,000 | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,474 | +$1,474 +100% | — |
| 151d | mamai | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,349 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 151d | wtde | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 151d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 78,000 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $3,549 | −$3,549 −100% | 5 |
| 151d |  MaxiChibrax | 78,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | +$1,083 +100% | — |
| 151d |  VasiliSko8 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,204 | +$295 +0.7% | 2 |
| 151d | VasiliSko | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,694 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,864 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | VasiliSko | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,694 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Mizukaze2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,217 | +$44 +0.5% | 2 |
| 151d | leinzo | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,563 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,180 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 |
| 151d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,202 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 151d | Gingerale1809 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,271 | +$96 +1.3% | 2 |
| 151d | deranged11 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,493 | +$48 +0.2% | 2 |
| 151d | deranged4 fills | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $15,256 | −$25 −0.2% | — |
| 151d | DAdADear | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$79 +7.7% | 3 |
| 151d | EddyAncogld | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,009 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
ddnpl20,443 shares
ELIENMUSK16,713 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.