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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −49 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149d | Rust701 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,030 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Ornery-Temporary | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,340 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Fixed-Gravy | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,524 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Dense-Muscat | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,049 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Incognitoo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Colorful-Fireplace | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,508 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | ZZXZZ | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,725 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | AINY001 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,010 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,934 | +$42 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | BunCaCham | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,552 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | SkyLove7 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | vmint | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,527 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | WCWS3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,998 | +$66 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Diligent-Component | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$27 +1.4% | 2 |
| 149d | VasiliSko3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,409 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 149d | Diligent-Component | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,101 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 149d |  lasiweijiasi | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,490 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 149d |  EA-SY | 74,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,674 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | edseah | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$39 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Nothfail | 76,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 149d | Incognitoo2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,921 | +$31 +0.8% | 2 |
| 149d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 149d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,914 | +$42 +1.1% | 2 |
| 149d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | zyq-888 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,220 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d |  smokyCappuccino4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,401 | +$110 +1.3% | 2 |
| 149d | 0x780a…2d1d | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$53 +1.3% | 2 |
| 149d | EddyAncogld | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,585 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | wtde | 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$44 +3.0% | 2 |
| 149d | kntlll | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,522 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Diligent-Component | 74,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$109 +5.4% | 2 |
| 149d | VasiliSko | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,003 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | Dou123 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | Dense-Muscat | 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$102 +3.4% | 2 |
| 149d | BunCaCham | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,961 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,694 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | NightVex2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,021 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 149d | vmint | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,022 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,749 | +$251 +5.3% | 2 |
| 149d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,634 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | detoxification | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,393 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 149d | VasiliSko | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,185 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 149d | smokyCappuccino | 74,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,376 | −$382 −8.7% | — |
| 149d | 51vas123 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,161 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 149d | leinzo | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,595 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 149d | easyclap2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $6,346 | +$3,162 +50% | 4 |
| 149d | EddyAncogld4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,724 | +$53 +0.7% | 2 |
| 149d | kntlll | 78,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,516 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Dou123 | 78,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 76,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$296 +25% | 4 |
| 149d |  Facaie | 78,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,654 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 149d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,200 | +$74 +1.0% | 2 |
| 149d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,244 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 149d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,312 | +$52 +0.7% | 2 |
| 149d | va51123 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 149d | KJHhjdfy | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 149d | TFGHJdytm | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
Erka-RoadTo1M10,967 shares
truthteller10,106 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.