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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +12 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | AndrianoLamo | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,357 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,813 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,501 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 170d | zoquendo | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | AnonymousPerson | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | Grubby-Haircut | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,200 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | ylnopU | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,016 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 170d | wang0766 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$140 +1.9% | 2 |
| 171d | Rust701 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,094 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | RootWoot | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,011 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | ian2.02 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$224 +10% | 3 |
| 171d | jhz11222 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,377 | +$35 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | detoxification2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,696 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | onekey02 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,166 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,061 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 171d | PmDerek2 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,398 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 171d | jc222 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,438 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | ylnopU | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 |
| 171d | Deafening-Refund | 82,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,664 | −$489 −7.3% | — |
| 171d | onekey02 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,547 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 171d | SkyLove7 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | PmDerek3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,169 | +$35 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,627 | +$109 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 171d | Pansiew | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,388 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | GoingGangrene2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,146 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 171d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 171d | AndrianoLamo | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$60 +2.6% | 2 |
| 171d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,371 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | Incognitoo | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,011 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | guccigopnik | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,310 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 171d | Deafening-Refund3 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,737 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | averagerandomman2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,396 | +$22 +0.5% | 2 |
| 171d | umtc4m | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,335 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | watersand4 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $16,963 | +$2,559 +15% | 3 |
| 171d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,762 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | 0x93b6…7072 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | +$55 +3.1% | 2 |
| 171d | Rust701 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,990 | +$110 +1.8% | 2 |
| 171d | 0xf367…212e2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 9 |
| 171d | 0x780a…2d1d | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$79 +3.1% | 2 |
| 171d | Shadow15jose2 fills | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,109 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 171d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,923 | +$967 +16% | 3 |
| 171d | 0xf367…212e | 82,000 | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,347 | +$1,347 +100% | — |
| 171d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,483 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 171d | 0x780a…2d1d3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$55 +0.7% | 2 |
| 171d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,541 | +$202 +3.1% | 2 |
| 171d | lele1125 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$56 +3.1% | 2 |
| 171d | 0x75d1…90da | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 171d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 82,000 | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,595 | −$1,595 −100% | 7 |
| 171d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,555 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 171d | zztt1991 | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,780 | +$199 +4.2% | 2 |
| 171d | RootWoot | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,786 | +$229 +4.8% | 2 |
| 171d | HIJjjj | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | DFsDASD | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 171d | Fsafsdvmfas | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,058 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 171d | wrthshgd | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,140 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.