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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +42 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −8 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,460 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 167d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,634 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 167d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,122 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 167d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,992 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 167d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,142 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Grubby-Haircut | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 2 |
| 167d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$110 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 167d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 80,000 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,627 | −$1,627 −100% | 6 |
| 167d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $7,185 | +$9,186 +128% | 5 |
| 167d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,294 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 167d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 80,000 | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,309 | +$2,309 +100% | — |
| 167d | watersand3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 5 |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 80,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $3,342 | −$3,342 −100% | 3 |
| 167d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $2,366 | −$2,366 −100% | 4 |
| 167d | LouisDouis | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,968 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,366 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 80,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,974 | +$1,489 +50% | 5 | |
| 167d | 80,000 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$1,232 −95% | — | |
| 167d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,316 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 167d | WanTonMee | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,475 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,418 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 167d | 80,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $4,262 | +$1,375 +32% | 4 | |
| 167d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,365 | +$40 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 167d | Brief-Queen | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,118 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Beneber | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,944 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | kiriakaaka | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,744 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 167d | notover555 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,597 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 167d | Kovan | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,861 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Heavenly-Job | 80,000 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$370 −37% | — |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$3,638 +99% | 5 |
| 167d | suntori | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,103 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 167d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | +$21 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 167d | Identical-Schooner | 80,000 | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | +$1,280 +100% | — |
| 167d | 0xf705…3ca714 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $35,797 | +$3,485 +9.7% | 3 |
| 167d | 0xf705…3ca713 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $39,703 | +$1,228 +3.1% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x75d1…90da | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | +$20 +1.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x75d1…90da | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 167d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,313 | +$88 +1.7% | 2 |
| 167d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,122 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 167d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,058 | +$53 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 167d | Haadf | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | JHValueUp | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | smkorea7489 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | leinzo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,180 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Kayn | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | Shadow15jose | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,208 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 167d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,845 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,814 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 167d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 167d | Qasdft | 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$41 +4.1% | 2 |
| 167d | YShsdf | 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$41 +4.1% | 2 |
| 167d | Sdghtww | 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$41 +4.1% | 2 |
| 167d | suntori | 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$81 +4.1% | 2 |
| 167d | KIsjdi | 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$41 +4.1% | 2 |
| 167d | Fdshyt | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 167d | Ujdiwad | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 167d | Ksjbfaw | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.