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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100,000 | 100% | +26 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | −29 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 0% | −18 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | — | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350d | Thin-Print | 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,299 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | shabbysalta | 108,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | shabbysalta | 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,000 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | btxj | 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | btxj | 104,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Mean-Sidestream | 106,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,341 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | kosmichesky | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,216 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Whispered-String | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,114 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | szza | 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,333 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Quantum123 | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,598 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | chickenight | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Beloved-Sunglasses | 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,837 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | 0x6688a1a91697cbafdcdf893c25e2273ab6db67cd | 102,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,438 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Instructive-Blackbird | 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | Thin-Print3 fills | 100,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,251 | +$497 +4.4% | 2 |
| 350d | Front-ProcedureNew account | 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,837 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | ntdh1 | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | AZwater | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,948 | +$129 +0.3% | 2 |
| 350d | kkinghh | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,057 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 350d |  InsuranceSavesMe | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 350d | 0xf705…3ca714 fills | 102,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $60,460 | +$18,117 +30% | 2 |
| 350d | averagerandomman9 fills | 102,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,154 | +$1,206 +9.9% | 3 |
| 350d | 6731 | 108,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,078 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | Chief-LeverageNew account | 102,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$52 +3.1% | 3 |
| 350d | IchNichtDu | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,194 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 350d | shabbysalta | 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | 0xf705…3ca712 fills | 102,000 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $40,390 | −$11,279 −28% | — |
| 350d | lnarix | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 350d |  moomoomoo | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,280 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 350d | Thick-President | 102,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | +$271 +18% | 4 |
| 350d | ccmmm2 fills | 100,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | +$153 +7.1% | 3 |
| 350d |  BoringPunter | 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,394 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | 0x325000 | 102,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 350d | easypredict14 fills | 102,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $48,950 | +$7,345 +15% | 3 |
| 350d | brr694202 fills | 100,000 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,844 | −$1,281 −33% | — |
| 350d |  JisaLewin | 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 350d | affs20791 | 100,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | +$203 +8.8% | 3 |
| 350d | Thick-President | 100,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$174 +12% | 3 |
| 350d | GoldenFinger | 100,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$268 +13% | 3 |
| 350d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e6 fills | 102,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $14,235 | +$4,095 +29% | 2 |
| 350d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | 100,000 | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $20,068 | −$20,068 −100% | 6 |
| 350d | LunLun2 | 104,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 350d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 100,000 | SellNo31¢ → 0¢ | $6,808 | +$6,808 +100% | — |
| 350d | bnnaa | 108,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,038 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | Gambler665 | 102,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$124 +5.6% | 2 |
| 350d | Gambler665 | 104,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 350d | affs20791 | 102,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$89 +7.5% | 3 |
| 350d |  Warsh-Nightmare | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,983 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 100,000 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $3,952 | −$3,952 −100% | 9 |
| 350d | mwehehe | 102,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | +$238 +12% | 3 |
| 350d | uglyy | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,518 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 350d | brr69420 | 100,000 | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,119 | +$1,119 +100% | — |
| 350d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e2 fills | 100,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $4,287 | −$4,287 −100% | 5 |
| 350d | 4432432 | 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,240 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 350d | vsdfbgergqw | 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,184 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | franklineth | 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,977 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 350d | Pricey-Spleen | 100,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | −$1,161 −100% | 5 |
| 350d |  WilliamNaka | 102,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,953 | +$546 +4.2% | 2 |
| 350d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 104,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $15,546 | +$1,202 +7.7% | 2 |
| 350d | brr694202 fills | 104,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | −$162 −5.2% | — |
DomHuntAllowed10 shares
Tutkacheburah9 shares
Hubbardinio6 shares
KattyJetty4 shares
PRESIDENTEJavierMilei25,599 shares
71536498203,500 shares
AlpinaCrash1,930 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 100,000 means the market gives it about 100%.