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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −27 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −61 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 132,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 126,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | +12 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 128,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 377d |  0xc81aa9e5c9f9f90baf8e521e59bc25aaab1b58 | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 377d |  Cactus337 | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 377d | averagerandomman | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,134 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 377d |  ArcLing | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,192 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d |  noreasapa | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,004 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d |  nasa22 | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 0xf705…3ca710 fills | 122,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $49,961 | +$1,410 +2.8% | 2 |
| 377d |  ChaunceyBillups | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | studentgameer | 126,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,365 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 377d | cryptoh01der7 | 126,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,298 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 377d |  VinnyViral2 fills | 118,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,485 | +$562 +8.7% | 3 |
| 377d | lamalamalama | 118,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$228 −18% | — |
| 377d | rolan | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 655ll3 | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,360 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | ghg22 | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,584 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | zhoskiii | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | JasonLee | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,478 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | icysfernando | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,104 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | loly | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | woailuoz | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,115 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 377d | fgfd44 | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,296 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | emoop | 116,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 377d | RalphBrown | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,339 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 120,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$1,658 +89% | 5 |
| 377d | axieaduo | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 22323 | 120,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,480 | −$2,480 −100% | 5 |
| 377d | Joanne | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | VinnyViral2 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $5,073 | −$5,073 −100% | 3 |
| 377d |  UwO | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,968 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | jht1 | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,204 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | hhh1aaa | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,476 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 64fdfg | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,484 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | cryptoh01der7 | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,298 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 120,000 | SellNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | −$2,132 −89% | — |
| 377d | 884.btc | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,346 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | Tuta122 | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,905 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 654tt | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,273 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | pipitowin | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $5,625 | −$5,625 −100% | 3 |
| 377d | mersy | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,642 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 122,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $20,735 | −$3,641 −18% | — |
| 377d | chenyuyi1829 | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,003 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d |  kogmaw3 | 118,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 377d | gugujiao | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 377d | studentgameer | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,297 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | tanner1117 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | ;;;455 | 118,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 378d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,275 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | ;;;455 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 0xchocalate6 fills | 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,986 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | IDGAFnomore5 fills | 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,322 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,668 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,489 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d |  brodiaga | 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,879 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | ghujj5 | 118,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,188 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 378d | ghujj5 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,189 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | chenyuyi1829 | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,165 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | easypredict2 fills | 122,000 | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$4,950 +122% | 5 |
| 378d | vincenteof.xyz | 132,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,458 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | Ivanka.ca | 132,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,456 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
WeiWei1,139 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 112,000 means the market gives it about 100%.